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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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5 \9 P1 V! i5 x) @. E有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。6 x/ _6 X: C& r6 d
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。* q, f$ A& G8 F2 x$ w& N
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为什么？
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
* B! ]3 N2 E! T" ]! R, V1 x6 L6 n2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。* o1 ]7 D' M" g; l, H6 b
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
! L& D, V5 \3 _& ^# i" P! ], E; g 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4. F# T7 C, F7 r
第一把输，你没有了。# D9 c& n1 @' O% i4 A) t4 E' E
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。4 ~9 F. I$ s( z
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。0 u9 u: H5 y; t+ u- ^ v O/ D5 j
…………无限下去。# k9 I3 n# N! Y$ ~1 ?
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
: ^7 @$ k7 g) y+ w) u% s( ]: d0 V* O( v# y; g' v/ _% Z( Q& Q
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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4 z. d* U# R2 e' M; E这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
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$ s, E. L/ J" ^5 G! b1、我觉得可以打偏差。
m( ~* ?0 k0 _1 A G8 F2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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e: k2 ]" S5 H6 G8 v. N但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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