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[lastpost] => 2769606 【星宝】9月27日投注流水150285元 1759037710 rainwang
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小分3种情况:
e* B( X5 s" A' @, k$ n, \7 f# }: l1 x
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
8 Y0 n7 u* }3 c5 p5 e! ^$ [2 d |! z& h! U0 @/ r7 o
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
% `0 Y+ h, l* c3 z
1 Y% Z* }' o p3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。5 {% d5 F& {" F, o
, O4 A& S3 b' l6 z$ H
2张牌8或9点的情况有:1 G6 k7 S8 N9 l- B. U$ C' `& p
X7 X& s2 J) J$ r: B. F, y1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+104 `* k6 {0 _( p
9 u4 X2 ?! D( }! k' N. p
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
1 M& ?& x. q! k: f. \
/ r6 q7 }, M* K4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415) ]' Z, c! p* _! n9 |+ {8 t3 W+ }
: n% `9 @: b" ?% c) }' U8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
! a+ K2 C5 I# s' Q- a- Y' E4 v
# V1 b# W6 F8 T0 H; S* U. e由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
5 ]2 m: C9 E4 |* Q4 L" q- r. K( ^; [8 p; b: P" H3 v1 \
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
, H% l9 q% \1 i2 ?0 ?; {8 U8 y% o4 |: @1 P. u
那么我们可以得出
4 S% t' T- G: l. ]; B6 N/ U* {) J/ X; ]
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
* x% C4 J6 j3 ?. {5 a
0 \1 t; b( p6 z# ^& `2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 ( m1 j0 N4 W+ }. p; D
& F; D, i. K" C& Z: g3 ?# C3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491/ V+ d3 @* T% L! O% c
5 c, ?1 K/ j; i. G) `3 C3 C( H: m
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
7 @% g$ l% j6 q/ U, ~7 [. M/ a) Q7 w) g) f* k. j! a6 e
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.6211306772 W: m* e/ s% ]1 E. e
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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