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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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" C# D w. S0 c l( d- X
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。' x' R$ r/ {0 {% d. o" Z: \! o
* z1 C+ H7 P- i+ T2 `这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。7 S) K9 p E- a1 _# B8 ?5 o
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为什么？7 t! o* o/ z# [+ m' p# f E% O
$ M! Q2 ` L- ^; h1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
c0 @3 I$ l5 B1 M2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。) W) g! J. j& J; W. S2 i. `$ Y6 a
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。2 s8 j" j5 ^+ |+ n" n5 c7 v
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
7 ~8 z0 Z2 @. d% {9 O" |$ H$ { 第一把输，你没有了。; D) |6 t- O0 L) w# c
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。0 ^9 s! r$ m5 I" H
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
+ X; U( O4 f: e8 w9 z …………无限下去。
6 n ]: X" y2 \清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
7 ~+ p& E8 Q0 f( D8 B
1 D9 O0 t8 {1 W2 L7 ^! |是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。 i; s" X6 S2 r6 w$ ^ W! z
5 {; N6 ^4 _6 @( u$ v5 K9 g
这就是总是输的原因。。6 L b7 d4 d7 E* |
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
# y+ E- U [/ L8 D1 |0 N$ M1 r' N% q7 u5 O5 |5 G
1、我觉得可以打偏差。+ h+ f2 t% b8 }' P
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。7 z4 p3 ?, `% q$ e- M1 R
2 y# p+ D5 O: F0 w' f% P但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。' P( d" C ^4 D8 q3 J8 y6 _
( ~1 k7 T/ l$ x+ ]2 v5 @ R人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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