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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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[lastpost] => 2655343 澳洲饶舌歌手讽V神为“巨婴”,回击其对名人迷因币的批评! 1717770849 天策-菱玖
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。$ c4 z- ]# h9 i; H) L
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5. 废话的不对称原则
E; S; N, m4 o: i反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
* @1 Z& C/ P7 _8 W- E5 W. ^1 D7 W; h8 G6 T; B6 f$ `% `
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
0 k+ T( t1 I6 x8 g. J: x% d% z8 }9 z( P7 `& o& b) x
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。* g6 N8 @5 A3 @/ z6 j9 [
7 @! @6 m+ M6 |1 `. n& X1 X每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。' M% I1 N# u7 F. o' {+ d# Q
! O) _4 Z* ^& G3 |$ g而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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0 X) c S3 f) \& @. R/ y2 N6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅): @& ]( t) j. y- q: B* ?: p7 M
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。% E1 B6 l) F* d2 r6 r$ ^' G
/ ?% D* E& F* o5 _3 E$ ^/ ?; l# ]不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。, r$ d3 Z r1 T' J* @3 l
, ^- z5 O. `7 B4 y7 e, z
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
2 ^2 Y8 h( O0 R) [* A( x6 T0 m
$ ~$ p) T$ [9 }; b, u& H2 ^想象一下罕见事件:2 A' g4 s2 T+ s
1 S4 ~0 B0 j8 w% x4 h5 c- n• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
* R# z8 L- a' S) V+ d7 y* k: ]5 l4 H5 }
• 核打击% B" k6 L2 I0 D
$ L" h+ g2 v# J \
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!# y/ c2 j6 L* h
8 J: i0 n" `5 N& p8 r( O( t3 b7.二八定律
- t, S0 N$ y9 `& [# m/ i在币圈:
! P, a' B: K# l( ?
' E4 U* \$ J R/ J' Z80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
+ q( l* Q5 o R i. h. e
; U- {9 k, Q& }. Q. k80%的利润被20%的人拿走。6 |9 r. Q1 i" }3 u) F% |9 f
) K K: T e! ^
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。7 F) f5 G& Z/ H! y8 W
v: h0 t* Y: v6 f: _2 i8.网络效应
" F1 m7 f" |4 @! ~& L) b" U产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。5 U4 z. ~# {0 U3 a% B4 g M) b
$ A6 D2 @) G4 ^- e
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
' ^ ~3 R, u: x3 A8 ~ R4 ]/ U
6 C% m3 c! X" L. {( C一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
3 m1 h9 g1 ?( N' X; z, C6 Y+ L. y, h/ t0 u" }
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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