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对于加密货币市场来说、现金流重要吗?
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比特币和其他加密货币投资仍然在世界各地积极地进行宣传。广告牌上有巨大的比特币标志,书店里的桌子上堆满了关于NFT的书籍,网络上到处传着web3和元宇宙的消息。
大多数购买加密货币的普通用户可能不会对其基本价值进行深入、仔细的分析,无论是作为一种货币还是作为一种技术。相反,大多数人可能会因为听说某个人在很早之前买了比特币,现在财富自由了,或者因为谁买 NFT 获得了巨大的利润,又或者是因为有些人在不经意间买了SHIB获得了巨额财富从而才进入这个市场。
但比特币和Web3相关的故事在这里可能确实有一些重要性。当普通人问自己,为什么我要买这个东西?这个东西会有什么价值?再加上现在市场确实是一片乌烟瘴气,一些所谓的老师会给韭菜们打鸡血,买这个买那个就能暴富,但结果往往不如人意,轻则亏钱退市,重则家破人亡。还有好多为了暴富去贷款去梭哈,去赌上自己的身家,最后下场无不凄惨。
为什么要投资
投资,投的是一种资产,资产只有产生现金流才有价值。
投资一是赚钱,可以做到常说的钱生钱。第二点是保证自己的财富的价值。因为赚的钱,如果留在那里,其实一直在贬值,因为有通货膨胀,如果你不能增加财富,其实就是在贬值,这也是很多人为什么要做投资的原因。即使赚不到大钱也必须保住你的资金,不要让财富在社会通货膨胀中缩水。在投资领域我们经常听到有人说这样的话:不要留现金,你的现金留在银行里每年跑不过通胀都相当于贬值。
那言下之意是什么呢?言下之意就是要把钱尽量拿去投资。这话听起来好像很诱人,似乎只有投资才是现金最好的归宿。但实际上如果我们观察一下身边的例子,就会发现绝大多数人投资的结局都不乐观:轻则亏本,重则血本无归。不要说挣到想象中的每年百分之多少,连银行的定期利率2-3%都拿不到,还不如存银行定期。
所以盲目地“投资”并不是现金的好归宿,这就引出来一个问题:当我们没有发现好的投资标的时,现金反而是最好的留存物。
投资中现金流的重要性
现金储备是我们在百年一遇的大机会出现时,抓住机遇的筹码和资本。
就像此前的无聊猿空投ApeCoin代币,推上有很多后悔吐槽的言论。说的都是持有者因为种种原因,资金周转不开,为了生活不得不卖掉眼看着就要拿到福利的无聊猿,而白白错过这些空投。
不仅币圈,在传统领域也是这样,比如这两年频繁上新闻的房地产企业就是如此。
去年是岌岌可危的恒大到处贱卖资产,今年是危在旦夕的融创四处求售资产。他们的问题都是因为用的杠杆太高,手里的现金几乎枯竭,因此一旦遇到风险,企业资金链就会断裂,就会陷入危机,到那个时候为了保命企业就不得不贱卖资产甚至包括优质资产。这个时候的企业就像是砧板上的肉任人宰割了。
三箭也是一个很好的例子,他想卖以太吗?其实也不想,但是不卖不行,不卖去哪里搞钱去填自己的窟窿?CEL想卖以太吗?也不想,但是事情的发展总是超人意料,资不抵债,非卖不可。对于大机构都这样了,普通投资者拿什么抗?
疫情时候有个粉丝跟我说,四万抄底的大饼,后来一直补仓,几乎是梭哈了,但是还是一直跌,自己还封在家里,没有收入来源,问我该怎么办,说卖吧,实在不忍心;不卖吧,生活已经过不下去。所以留足一定量的现金对投资者长久地在市场活下去是至关重要的。
今天的分享就到这里,后期会给大家带来其他赛道的龙头项目分析。感兴趣的可以点个关注。我也会不定期整理一些前沿资询和项目点评,欢迎各位志同道合的币圈人一起来探索。 来源:金色财经 |
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