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[lastpost] => 2690513 所有人都在关注CPI和美联储,比特币是否会出现回调?(转) 1731318716 人生如赌
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连续8周下跌,市值蒸发三分之一,比特币跌跌不休何时了?
7 V. S R c; ~周五,三大美股指创三周新高,10年期美债收益率逼近一个月低位,原油创两月新高,黄金连涨两周......在几乎所有的资产大涨之际,比特币却无动于衷,坚定不移地往下跌。
+ v# N! k0 Y+ C作为全球最大的加密货币,比特币已经连续8周下跌,为2011年8月以来的首次。在这段时间里,比特币已经蒸发了超过三分之一的市值。截至周五,比特币日内跌幅达2.13%,再度跌破29000美元/枚。
1 s1 E- W4 ~8 {. k7 I0 D9 F8 Y
5 ^/ I1 n2 L- ^6 V& \2 j在近期的抛售浪潮中,比特币已从去年11月69000美元的历史高点下跌了近60%,近几周一直在28000-30000万美元之间徘徊。
% o) K9 c7 o% L$ o( \5 b随着全球第三大稳定币TerraUSD崩盘,比特币第一加密货币的地位得到巩固。根据CoinGecko的数据,比特币占加密货币市值的比例上升至44%,为去年10月以来的最高水平。
2 v) C Z+ i9 w但是,此时的加密货币市场已经不可同日而语,根据CoinMarketCap数据显示,全球加密货币市值约为1.2万亿美元,与去年11月超过2.9万亿美元的历史高位相比,已经蒸发58%。
: C& [4 B$ H- n- S, a& [. J3 g除了比特币以外,DeFi(去中心化金融)项目中的热门代币周五也大幅下挫,第二大加密货币以太币以及与Avalanche跌超4%,Solana下跌5.7%。甚至在NFT(非同质化代币)市场中,大受欢迎的无聊猿和加密朋克也面临下跌压力。
: C4 t& _! S" I. N# |7 j恐慌情绪是目前加密货币持续下挫的主要因素。随着投资者加大看跌押注,市场对美国首只比特币期货ETF的看空情绪接近该基金自2021年10月成立以来的最高水平。 ; V, a; m) G" b5 m2 Q0 W
量化对冲基金Miller Tabak的首席市场策略师Matt Maley在接受媒体采访时表示,市场低迷“让投资者对加密货币大大丧失了信心”。“因此,随着投资者对整体市场变得更有信心,他们正在寻找其他可以在疲软时买入的资产。他们不想在加密货币中重蹈覆辙。” 6 U5 ~5 B2 [* Z) i0 c- f
此外,随着美联储继续收紧政策,比特币可能还有下跌的空间。
! u, V' ~* A% z/ b+ t, j古根海姆首席投资官Scott Minerd本周一表示,预计比特币或将进一步下跌,8000美元或是最终的底部。也就是说,比特币将在当前28800美元的基础上,继续下挫超70%。
: A6 \- S% V' V+ [1 H. k来源:金色财经 |
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