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[虚拟币交流]
摩根大通:比特币相较黄金被低估 或在年底前升至16.5万美元(转)
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摩根大通(307.55, -3.16, -1.02%)的分析师表示,比特币价格可能在年底前攀升至16.5万美元,他们认为,从波动率调整后的基础来看,比特币相对于黄金被低估了。
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由董事总经理Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领导的摩根大通分析师在周三的一份报告中称,比特币与黄金的波动率比率已降至2.0以下,这意味着比特币目前消耗的风险资本约为黄金的1.85倍。
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他们写道,基于这一比率,比特币目前2.3万亿美元的市值需要上涨约42%,“这意味着比特币的理论价格为16.5万美元”,才能与通过ETF、金条和金币等方式投资黄金的约6万亿美元私人投资相匹配。
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2 j# M; p% z1 O% a3 o) ^3 T1 t 分析师们指出,估值差距已从2024年底比特币被高估3.6万美元,转变为如今相对于波动率调整后的黄金水平被低估约4.6万美元。
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) s4 c: u$ M- h: X3 p* x- g- t2 P7 A 他们表示:“因此,这种机械计算可能意味着比特币有显著的上涨空间。”, N# B0 |: z. ~
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看来摩根大通这波直接给了硬目标,年底16.5万刀,信心拉满了呀。
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