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我本人平时不怎么玩体育投注，不是我不喜欢，而是不了解这体育这一行，今天偶尔在网站上看到这么一篇文章，复制过来给喜欢玩体育的朋友们一起分享下，希望能有一点帮助！
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1. 强队不一定等同于胜利
" b" O/ @* e, Y# w% B篮球投注与棒球不同，因为多数投注客所下盘口是所谓的「让分盘」。比如说马刺让金块3.5分，这时马刺不但要赢，还要赢4分以上你才算赚钱。4 C b( w+ H9 u" C
因此就算马刺今天碰上烂队如2007-08的超音速，让分盘口可能出现马刺让14.5分，我们都知道马刺应该会赢，但要赢到15分以上？？3 W+ m% X7 ~3 o: r. B; s; l
且事实上，根据2006-07球季的统计，大家心中所谓强队马刺、小牛…，让分盘的胜率仅5成出头。简单说，押强队不一定能赚。
1 }5 N/ M$ F4 n4 ~% A; z2. 早人一步发现黑马
" W6 V, }$ @8 b' r, A; }- N抛弃强队稳赚的观点，接下就是找出黑马。以2006-07的多伦多暴龙队为例，球季开打前，没有人料到暴龙队会拿下东区大西洋组龙头。且因大多数人没发现，赌盘没必要做调整，所以暴龙队的让分盘胜率在2月之前是超过60%。
( _/ C! p; w1 |& [3 P7 Z可是后来暴龙队战绩越来越出色，投注他们让分盘获胜的比例快速提升，赌盘在明星赛后做出调整，才拉低了暴龙队让分盘的过关机率，但若你早一步看出或注意到，一定可小捞一笔。
/ Z$ a+ V! x9 Z& v" m5 J& ~3. 印象摆一边数据来决定9 T! E# q0 T7 C9 {' L
因为有让分的关系，所以统计数据就很重要。哪队、让几分、获胜机率如何是观察重点，因为有时这跟球风有关系。当盘口开出时，千万别有应该会过的观点，仔细花点时间看一下双方让分及被让分时表现，是很好的参考。光凭印象通常输多赢少。
4 x% ?: ^' s. ^# N3 {7 _/ s3 @像上季小牛让到9分以上通常很惨，因为小牛可用之兵多，赢太多时有本钱换副将上来玩，让太多分常在最后一两分钟翻船。
7 S! \; m% L; |$ @2 Q, Q1 F4. 太甜的盘口永远要提高警觉
% o' B j! c# O" u* `其实任何比赛项目这都是重点，之前棒球投注没特别说明，不过看到很多会员猛追热门盘，我们觉得还是要提醒大家。! A8 B- s4 w- c. r
举2006-07球季为例，1月8日湖人才在家中断小牛的13连胜，休息1天他们作客大烂队灰熊，当时盘口开出湖人让2分，超甜盘口。大家很正常的认知：拜托！湖人刚击败小牛，怎么可能会输给灰熊，且才让两分而已，当然是大笔给他押下去。结果，湖人以118比128惨败。% W( k# w* Q+ \4 W. C% @
这一部份是赌盘所设陷阱，另一部份，湖人上季对上胜率不及5成球队，遇弱则弱。以为稳赚的盘口，反而要多想想。
7 {- q5 `4 g: S6 _5. 别铁齿硬拗
* v: ?5 W; f8 {% q所有运动投资都相同，千万别赌气硬拗。没错，投资客可说「老子本厚」，但相信刚结束的棒球季，大家发现很多硬拗失败的例子。纽约大都会队最后6场比赛在家，对上同区最烂的马林鱼与国民，结果他们吞下5败，输死一票「老子不信大都会会连输的赌客」。, e7 q @% ]& H# ~1 K& z
看过这么多「血淋淋」例子，我们相信真的有个「博弈之神」，当你说出「 老子就不相信…」类似铁齿的发言，通常会开始倒楣，别不信邪。我们认为，「连拗」不是不可，但要经过合理运算，做好停损管理，才能有效避掉大失血。
; D+ x$ J6 @& ~! B6. 研究再研究" U! K" K; p) Q4 [9 ^0 n
运动投资与乐透彩最大不同，在于乐透彩是100%或然率与机运，但运动投资却可透过一定程度的研究提高您胜率。您可透过我们专业分析团队的深度解盘，从数据、走势、历史、球队近况做出综合判断，让自己功力升级。获利永远是留给做足功课的人) e& f" T# @) e7 X) {* J$ ]
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