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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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1#
以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲
: j! m+ j- A5 x8 p5 {( i8 v/ G6 T% a$ z# W

' J; n' N; r% W" J1 |; l) }只跟踪一个联赛
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  [, }" s6 f2 r& S/ h4 x6 y全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔, K* q2 D0 M$ x! ]; I5 e: ^/ J

- F0 q  q1 l# k, i& m0 _# n7 \三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，$ r$ Y6 l  Z5 j3 D' m- f6 H0 M5 \* T
9 b. r) F% t3 k5 |9 @
偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。
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4 ^" ~5 e/ t; A方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）
  S7 c: `4 Z, \5 Y% v  s: `4 k; b/ w) l  E0 M0 s1 U
然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，
8 _6 x% o+ R( ^1 h$ T) y+ X! Y, t6 i7 E* `# Q1 V
就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱) Z1 a9 p. p' W3 V7 x

* c+ Y5 T# N: A# f" T9 A当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目- L4 w1 I8 j- R6 y

7 g, x% `/ }1 B/ R. A9 S/ I+ P: G  x  s9 O9 w$ g- o, a. S( p7 ~7 j" j
/ g' h  o& g! A, H( u3 Q* W) ?
亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，
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8 s3 H- e" x# ?' v6 R而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，, u  \- y( {2 r5 d! K+ x; O0 g

. d# ?  E7 m! ^, F0 f  }5 e但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。6 g  T) X' }0 h# D# S8 g
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理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。
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0 ]0 Q1 x* k$ ^排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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2#
以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，: e) G1 D7 [% J! n# E

, ^* J! ~% d3 ?, H  C但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，) e7 M5 P+ K+ f$ V- }; j
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这比买国债存银行合算。
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! M0 O$ I- Y3 Q2 l2 B: H7 Z6 K在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，0 t. y' q; X+ }* s. a

/ G+ q! G, ~0 B& V, z几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。
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/ o4 q. S( _$ ?. W3 R4 B常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。
  y" H$ `+ N& E8 Z' e  @3 Y# ^( k. \' j* d
放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，
5 X+ v; Z6 {( j: ^6 y* h* u$ u$ d. K$ Y+ F
就是回避了大的亏损，, g7 q0 {( ]& r4 a: S# w9 M

3 a: r4 ^) T4 q5 W' Z大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，: I. s1 X1 A; ?0 ^3 z3 R
3 V2 z! Q. L: Q4 q' x5 t
回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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3#
学习一下，天天进步

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4#
顶起再慢慢看

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