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1#
1、几点涵义
" T: f" N0 c5 Y+ G: s9 p(1)初盘:初盘通常用来观察受热方向,一般视初盘低水方为受热方。
3 u  i: r$ A! ^& z/ ?1 K* [(2)初赔:初赔通常也用来观察受热方向,一般通过欧亚对比的方式寻找受热方。盘口水位比赔率折合的水位更低的一方一般视为受热方。
, C: ?$ v% f. H" A+ T注:通过初盘、初赔的判断,若两者方向相同,则可直接确定受热方向。若两者方向不同,则通常取盘口的低水方为受热方。
/ E( A0 F/ w7 e) f( H$ X(3)终盘:通过终盘与初盘的纵向比较,终赔与初赔的纵向比较,终盘与终赔的横向比较,决定上下盘取向。
% b" t* G/ p7 O# c6 v4 k4 ?A、终盘与初盘的纵向比较,是用来分析受热是否成功,若受热方升盘、降水,即视为造热成功,一般出非受热一方。若受热方升水、降盘,即视为造热不成功,一般出受热一方。
$ W/ B2 o7 z% u6 ^# Q5 B; T7 RB、终盘与终赔的横向比较,是用来分析庄家是否降低赔付。若欧亚对比,即时盘口水位比赔率折合的水位低一个级,如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合的是中低水,b、盘口是中高水,赔率折合是高水,则视为庄家在降低赔付,一般出降低赔付一方。反之亦然。如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合是高水,b、盘口是半球中水,赔率折合是平/半中水,则视为该方向受热,大热必死,出其对应的另一方。反之亦然。
% Q% e% K: S. \+ y6 G(4)终赔:同理于上一条。2 U/ }  p1 ]# n5 T
注意:若终盘与初盘的纵向比较,与终盘和终赔的横向比较的结果不一致,一般视后者为正确理解。/ q5 w! Y  u7 F, Z5 k; T, f
' v- R4 w. t! w, x5 m
2、基本步骤( W) Z/ ?. c  X/ d/ U3 t
(1)分析造热方向。$ W& Z$ X! X+ b2 d
(2)确定造热是否成功。
) g( V! |0 ^- t  v& X9 q; E- W(3)得出相关上下盘结论。+ m  H  u, M% B6 N- S+ ~# M; g
例一:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热不成功型。
# G. d& ^  E$ h9 q, l瑞典(主)VS捷克6 Y- x/ _: E! y6 }+ U5 h* m$ F
初赔:2.30 3.10 2.75
$ N6 F9 }2 ?, C9 Z& p8 f( r& T) k6 m: D初盘:0.80 平手 1.05
* q8 G4 j3 m+ F, {5 f' n终盘:1.05 平手/半球 0.80
7 z) A/ P, c2 R( a7 U+ t见解:初赔支持平手低水或平/半满水,实际初盘平手低水,造热方向在上盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半满水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,造热不成功,上盘大好。结果顺利打出(2:1)。
% [" K3 i& e/ h$ ]例二:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热成功型。
4 P! y; k" X3 p比利时(主)VS希腊0 A$ J1 F4 n) f
初赔:2.25 3.15 2.80; y7 t! V  J8 o  ^
初盘:1.00 平手/半球 0.85 6 L; A, c9 e( g5 L
终盘:1.025 平手/半球 0.825 6 }1 z  j. S. v! a6 p0 u3 L7 M3 R6 L
见解:初赔支持平/半高水,实际初盘平半高水或中高水,造热方向在下盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半高水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,下盘造热成功,上盘大好。结果上盘顺利打出(2:0)。) P9 G" H% ~/ s3 }
例三:最常见的。赔率、盘口都变。以变换后的赔率为基调进行研究。
  `6 j: @* l5 t: D意大利VS爱尔兰(主); F. p/ \* y  ~" r
初赔:2.50 3.00 2.60
2 x' h) h" B6 e" z1 [/ U; d终赔:2.40 3.00 2.70 " m& n& J" w, p
初盘:0.85 平手 1.000 ~$ J3 P  z6 G# f5 ~8 D+ @2 v
终盘:0.775 平手 1.075 % L# ^! [" K5 y
见解:初赔支持平手中水,实际盘平手低水,造上盘。临场时赔率支持平手中低水,实际盘平手超低水。这里请注意,如果从初盘与终盘的对比来看上盘造热成功,该出下盘。但请注意两点,一是变了赔后,支持中低水,实际盘是超低水,水位恰好低一级,正是出上盘的表现。二是本身给出超低水,也很明显在降低赔付。因此上盘顺利打出,比分2:1。' Q  h- {5 \) c4 U

  N# d: f) {% S  _+ x3、几点相关定义2 d& v  @7 {$ [. k  S( a, J" }
(1)低水方:上盘和下盘中水位较低的一方,一般可理解为低水方为受热方,也可理解为低水方为降低赔付方。
. `$ _9 s6 r4 x; N. [(2)诱上、诱下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势更好的想法。一般低水称为诱。( k3 {6 v9 I# B% H2 F, b
(3)阻上、阻下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势不好的想法。一般高水称为阻。2 K+ j' W4 _* m+ }
注意:中水既在诱又不阻。非常危险。* V2 \2 b. G4 _
(4)换位思考:每个盘口都有上盘和下盘,因人而异会有很多不同的想法。当你产生某一种想法时,一定要设想与你对立面的人的想法,并否定他。如果能否定,请肯定你的想法,如果不能否定,请对你的想法持怀疑态度,当然,不是叫你肯定别人的想法。
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2#
看看楼主的心得和方法
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3#
感谢分享心法啊,增加认识了
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4#
学习了 楼主 谢谢
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