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Grayscale 表示，2025 年第三季度可能会成为市场经历过的最不寻常的山寨币季节之一。
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在一个新的报告这位资产管理经理指出，比特币相对于其他行业的表现较弱，以及中心化交易所的提振，是“明显”周期的迹象。; t% g% j7 W% r( O, u
s1 U3 r: w3 W' s尽管比特币在8月份创下12万美元以上的新高，但其涨幅仍落后于智能合约平台和人工智能相关代币。灰度认为，美国的稳定币立法，包括7月份《GENIUS法案》的通过，有助于刺激对山寨币的需求，而比特币、人工智能代币和其他货币则表现落后。
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3 t' `" q4 X5 J) X$ V报告还强调了加密货币市场的几个结构性变化。越来越多的国库券持有代币，美国境内稳定币的使用加速，中心化交易所的交易量在第三季度有所上升。Grayscale 表示，这些变化为加密货币市场创造了合适的条件。山寨币' k6 H* J0 x) {/ M5 k5 }5 W+ K
3 ]3 I, Y3 E. n G& e
山寨币都是比特币的替代加密货币。( C5 _1 |/ c5 _" H6 ~
4 L8 L+ ~9 u1 N& G8 H' K% p& b" >山寨币与之前的周期不同，此次反弹仅由比特币主导地位的下降所驱动。6 e! K2 q/ }( V* u. ?8 w
展望未来，该公司表示，美国即将出台的政策——包括国会正在辩论的一项全面市场结构法案——可能成为第四季度业绩的催化剂。围绕新的加密货币ETF的乐观情绪也在增强，美国证券交易委员会(SEC)最近批准了更新的上市规则，并批准了Grayscale持有比特币、以太坊、瑞波币(XRP)、Solana和卡尔达诺(Cardano)的多资产基金。
9 f* L; H2 ~( x; _
& `( [" F5 v1 l尽管比特币价格创下里程碑式的涨幅，但灰度指出，BTC 和山寨币在创下历史新高方面仍落后于黄金和股票。灰度还补充道，稳定币从交易所流出可能在整体走势上受到抑制。6 t) `* x8 K( p. _; A" v
: e8 N6 X, ^% ?( bGrayscale 总结称，投资者不应低估监管转变的重要性。该公司认为，立法进展、ETF
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交易所交易基金
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4 ^% o1 h7 N! U, z0 f& u$ F" >ETF批准和日益增长的机构采用不仅可能影响下一季度，还可能影响整个加密货币市场到 2026 年的发展轨迹。
3 O' C' S6 e. H, g
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