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[lastpost] => 2794704 加密货币市场回顾：XRP 或将重现 2025 年 40% 的爆发式增长模式？（转） 1767663108 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
9 L) h. c+ N8 O! O8 L$ M yAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
+ h& l* K6 n5 M- ?5 `/ b+ f越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。+ |9 G. s) ]8 I8 T" z9 }" }8 }
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
, y, }) d- r# {! \从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
" ~# h( ~0 Y" F' Palt/btc: Z9 D/ B/ d2 M; Y1 w" v
alt/usdt% q. D* |6 c0 o( g
那么，发生了什么？
5 ^* _4 X! K* K: G9 ]: f1. 大户轮换资金' F$ h' s4 k d# w
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。2 c F; b6 O1 d# ^6 i
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
+ H6 r* w: n y3 [0 t7 z4 V但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
4 f) M2 R. Z( T9 b7 D2. 市场的防御心理
* i: I) e e5 j/ L投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。7 F' Q5 o, A7 N* X
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。5 }+ S3 {! I: ~! i% Y# L1 E
3. 需要关注的信号* g3 x0 h1 y& N; m6 e- v
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
4 Q" D5 J# n/ n9 z山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。- Y. P; I: g' S, w7 ~7 n; p) N2 |
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。+ K* J% i% q: G$ q. w+ j
4. 对投资者的意义
) O# D4 j0 s: s- I0 o+ G' l在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。) U* c4 F; P8 ~
如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
- `6 Y- c6 |5 D安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
( @8 M- F+ A/ d) e/ I结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。8 E1 u$ r, F6 ` |
#加密货币#3 I/ K" U+ l w U: [6 H
4 x* F" f E- B/ \ |
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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