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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
9 A# L) E W; Z3 Z2 k$ b9 J持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。 B- b0 U% H2 ?% N# V
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。& O* B; h: c8 k5 `- V9 n
. F' f' y" ]3 F C o# d, D一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
3 ] k8 u: i! q. ^% a# C0 ]* M4 N; C |% I" P$ J. _! v: ?
进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。! i6 | l1 d" C' _2 x# ~% w
2 y' f j2 l) u1 m4 D+ ~现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。& ~( U6 R4 r! c& V* U2 b+ Y |/ S
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但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。4 o. _' a+ _* t1 \! |2 K
% h9 q* s7 e3 J, m1 KD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？) m6 m0 b9 Q7 g! O% [
5 v% P$ H( i$ \比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验' p3 e& X: B% a- T+ ^0 `
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
# Y2 w/ H/ r& X3 }1 K8 @- J
8 {4 B& |& C. m. M' y# `* t4 @: x7 y从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。* l- L1 P1 g2 ^# j8 J$ S
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。$ i+ H2 G9 E5 V. u q5 W1 J; Y
9 r* w' c3 v7 l9 f8 l `) K按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。4 W& g- |# E3 o% q
& H. H2 u' B" i2 h; t% O" a不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。, Q: w) }! ^3 m
9 t, s8 v) B% m& D. o) g正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。1 W9 K/ S3 p. B* J8 o0 o# Z
4 A" b7 u5 z; S5 x5 d m3 f' n/ G1 L
经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现9 G, b: X' ]' r- c4 r& G5 H# O
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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7 p1 U7 G# v) H: C9 P2 J( {: }0 x针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。( ~- c" ^4 Z; t
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反应如何？迅速而残酷。
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短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。
( B" a3 l& R, Y2 o0 B, a' M/ i0 @6 z3 j0 {5 c0 Q* }4 J( |
这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。
$ v, M, O) X4 d0 j- M; o3 L: u, G M: N u3 J
随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。! Y: o' r q: F& Z" e A- D
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