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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。
5 e0 s, g7 p! ?4 C; PRSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
3 t! F+ d- ?+ B$ r4 Y4 D4 V( H5 s8 d比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。
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: s* t* M3 Q: Z' O. K9 p* p接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。! v' L+ L! D& t% Q
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？# F* B" |! o G; D+ r, w: l4 _# z
8 j' T4 i4 p# b0 T5 }市场信心[激增]？8 G( {8 z" S9 g* N4 v
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。: a0 w# S* z6 k4 Q
$ ?& K! k6 m1 [# f3 ~! t* f% L2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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( _% b8 \* T* C9 W# C4 O5 Z随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。
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% ^: m2 X9 V& v! c! O超级持有者已暂停
- o! z0 D8 h9 |. {1 f尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。/ w7 R. b" X% D. J0 B( ^
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根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。4 L. D& [0 u; D! b% Q. Z
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。2 U) y" |5 ?" C' H2 g) P
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即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。3 q7 L$ x' a/ T. w- d% g$ q
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。1 `- t3 R- x/ U+ r2 `4 @* ` y
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比特币显示出疲软迹象% u8 e" u+ t# \, `( A& z
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。7 }5 c% P1 \% z
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此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。6 e9 E- V- q' m, b8 `
* r4 k8 n! ~: |4 L: f尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。
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* I9 A' \1 N7 P如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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