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[lastpost] => 2753098 从沙盒到发牌,一文读懂即将落地的香港稳定币新政(转) 1753925237 万家灯火
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出,加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。
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BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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6 X5 Q/ q2 H# i3 m' `4 r-Vetle Lunde(@vetlelunde)2025年4月30日
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同时,对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据,自2011年以来,BTC的波动率一直在退化。' I2 d5 j; _6 d$ \. H; c; e* A
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低比特币的波动率:看涨还是看跌?! R! `% F; b3 Y. Q9 X+ D' S
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上,价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升,并突然纠正。; ?: f' C1 D) w7 o6 n
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结果,一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是,比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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8 `# m& Q6 F, `因此,可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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6 }. _$ R( p X" M9 K. C/ c" G+ O2 Q取而代之的是,低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果,即五月开始的2万亿美元档次,流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。
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0 V4 F5 n. o# q7 n/ t保真度:许多股票比BTC更波动( {8 z" [ u5 E/ Z+ P& z
总体而言,这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度,以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是,它更像是一个大型,良好且庄重的工艺。* _) [1 W% T: K6 ~/ C
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去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实,例如:“比特币是波动的,但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”/ U: C2 V; q! y/ b
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示:“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票,而到2023年下半年,比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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! y7 n% z6 X/ n" d; g7 Y- F/ J该报告确定了一个预测:“比特币的波动率下降了,预计将继续这样做。”同时,加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后,人们一直在迅速增长,并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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