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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
6 P, o0 D% x: f3 y4 X5 F6 I5 Y$ t
报告中特别强调了这一论断。
1 J' r- M, T3 k$ h3 ]! y$ V美元抛售推高比特币! h5 w, b+ Y4 K! |2 X+ c/ e
3 S0 I9 I. H: M* X4 |/ eGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以, K- Q9 E3 t; o: y7 w: A F7 g
5 L7 I# L' N0 U$ r K来的最低水平。
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# K% l, Z9 \* |“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”1 J. l6 A* Z, D" j! j
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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7 v+ {/ b. J1 n6 e# M, \6 M数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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; e5 R7 Q' S9 y/ U; C0 K# cAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推+ e2 b) g( [, j- A$ l
7 [7 J2 y2 @$ V" A2 J高黄金和比特币的价格。5 {# H* b& |1 p; L! A
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化* @4 V4 L k, m
. T2 o0 N! t3 l/ @2 k+ E, V$ `剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。: R, D' P( i5 V* E
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破( o2 ?& J. o9 G1 P5 x
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了8.7万美元。7 ]% ^1 B0 W; k" j( ]4 }
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，- h7 ?& P: W8 y( I- \* y
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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# L9 H5 L7 N( L( j% E" m% U分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
' f$ v/ J' T; Z7 z% z0 T9 ~" I4 v: e5 z/ e* y& e
“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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" l$ l( a& Q* W6 U8 Y+ }CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交' a; J& N, G4 u4 G; X7 W
# u8 q5 o3 g' c0 z易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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