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[lastpost] => 2809641 Aptos股价再次瞄准1美元：Decibel评级上调能否维持APT的涨势？（转） 1772249884 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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; q; |5 s' ?5 s; F 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。; I, C* L* f! \, }9 c x, X# o
7 I( Q' |0 t! G/ I1 l2 @ c$ X 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。, \1 o3 y& b! v, O& J5 m
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; x* ]5 H( O8 k0 O, S( y$ c* \6 X 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。, A6 O2 T+ ]. p# P) O$ j$ b( N
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。; c& P' R/ |0 }
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。, e+ \% j: M. t; p( G
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& n( a$ L) ]9 \8 p- H 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。% [/ k$ `5 G0 f# R0 H
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。9 j; S& w W1 `% B/ H2 p
5 H! Y% u: y% P! ?+ K “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。$ o4 X6 L( q' b- U& f
4 F+ U: |) Z# o+ _, | “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在% `2 [- [" _: h! ~6 n
) {* M* Y2 H7 ]4 [! I积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”, a- L* ~6 Z1 A8 ^6 {; o1 [2 B4 M
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1 h( l4 m7 V3 w% x( d 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。4 A+ t6 q0 Y% E; o7 n& X, G# g3 Z
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势" [ e8 p7 O3 Z! A& g8 G0 F
% {* d# S1 v p$ ^ 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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$ w2 X3 ~3 I' C7 K3 V; B9 T 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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K- s O6 Q# V 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，/ u- E' M3 E- o1 A2 a
2 c" j1 `" m' E# B- X4 B! i市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”$ o. ^3 z9 E( d$ v, ]$ N
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