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[lastpost] => 2651574 为什么加密货币市场今天上涨？比特币、以太坊领先收益（转） 1716363590 中大奖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币涨到40万美元还是2万美元？为什么分析师不能就BTC的未来达成一致（转）
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加密货币市场正在经历低迷，顶级玩家比特币和以太坊在过去24小时内下跌了5%以上。
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在3月中旬达到7.5万美元的历史新高后，最近的下跌引发了投资者的兴趣。有趣的是，领先的加密货币在过去三个月里下跌了大约20%。2 I8 v( @6 j2 _
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尽管如此，投资者对比特币的热情依然存在。. H6 _9 \1 H) H; t5 Q" c* p
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忽略短期噪音
* k. c m; B% ]交易员表示，这些波动是短期的，并将下跌视为市场的“常规调整”。
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AMBCrypto对储备风险指标的分析进一步证实了这一点。+ Q$ G8 F1 Q) g8 r: i( r7 g& G% g
6 }1 K! @5 J* s这张图表评估了长期比特币投资者对价格的信心。在撰写本文时，储备风险为0.002，表明BTC持有人的信心。" m D; {3 k: q3 ^. z& O
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随着最近价格的下跌，这可能预示着在可能上涨至70000美元之前开始积累，从而使看跌头寸处于不利地位。
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: _% w7 I1 K& K/ D阿波罗的联合创始人托马斯·法勒也表达了类似的观点，他说：，
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“价格可能会降至4万美元，但可能会升至40万美元。这就是事实，这是一个很好的赌注。”( L8 d. I2 [+ \) S4 o3 a+ O
Raoul Pal将其与BTC目前的价格及其最近的历史新高（ATH）进行了比较，他补充道，
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“这是BTC在12个月内第四次修正20%……很普通。”) l/ `* x& g) k# g
批评家就是批评家- I6 p4 T( E3 n( N. T" e1 N
然而，像彼得·希夫这样的怀疑论者对比特币的前景持悲观态度，预计比特币将回归2万美元。, S& J! r- u* @5 A
. J( ~$ P) @6 K( T2 @加密货币分析师Rekt Capital指出，2 r& O4 L5 y7 B6 a" O* m
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“比特币越来越接近其最终底部，每多下跌1%。”) L. p0 U: \4 n! `, k
尽管受到批评，加密货币交易所BitMEX的前首席执行官Arthur Hayes在其最近的文章《左曲线》中认为，BTC最近的下跌提供了一个买入机会。他说，
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“这是利用最近加密货币下跌缓慢增加头寸的最佳时机。”5 [* w |- L( q6 b
此外，Hayes强调，在实际收益率为负的时期，比特币是一种替代投资，可以对冲法定货币贬值。' \' M; k# R9 i, N, h5 k" S
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总而言之，这些交易所表明，尽管经历了过山车般的旅程，但比特币的长期前景看起来很有希望。
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