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美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF，加密货币产业迎来重要里程% g! e+ @5 s9 Y! S# d" y/ G9 M/ @
碑，市场开始乐观认为，以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批，目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准，包括贝莱德、富
+ S( I; V) A6 v- g达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。
: _7 T. `7 c; T; H# O2 W9 uSEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月，其他申请则在9 \: |- A. W! j
2024年的6~8月内。
' l, E% N9 T- }; u7 h' T3 z% h以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出？
' w( w3 }# S3 Z/ i4 b4 z. _/ F7 f) w而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示，52.4%网友认为，美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF，9.8%的
' B g' ]% k4 B' x, C网友更乐观，预期本月就能获得批准，另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准，11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。3 D0 \+ n- r/ n1 \+ M- {
然而，美国投资银行TD Cowen认为，SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF，TD Cowen Washington Research
% j3 R2 [4 |6 [9 u7 fGroup在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示：预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP7 k. O- N3 n7 E/ |$ E
中获取经验，然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月，但很可能要到美国
; U% s, x: C" d1 N& Q a+ ?5 Z+ b, L总统大选之后。0 J3 p, e/ Q% i- d3 W
摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性，他向The Block表示：
5 q! E. w0 s3 m1 L我们认为，如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF，就需要将以太坊归类为商品，而非证券，类似于比特币，但这还& n# d! K3 R; ?( H" E8 L
远未确定，我认为，SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性，不会超过50%。8 m, T: h Z- O& {
以太坊价格一度飙升+ u$ s' Q5 U. u% O5 R5 B
此前，由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批，在比特币现货ETF通过后，以太坊价格一度狂飙，再加上贝莱
7 C6 I. E2 H7 f$ T. S德执行长LarryFink发布言论，称看到以太坊ETF的价值，以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元，创下自2022年5月9日
8 q& y! ^4 \% Q8 l# Y( p( {以来的新高，不过随后又急挫。& r% [" }0 V9 ~/ k9 j7 E) O
至截稿前，报2551美元，近24小时跌幅0.1%。- k8 \& U* j2 \6 p
尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批，但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示，
! z2 h' o+ d3 g5 lSEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时，已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品，他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货! C+ m) i+ t5 ~) {0 q
ETF上市。
W, b& U' G5 @4 A/ h$ n
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