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美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF，加密货币产业迎来重要里程+ T5 j5 }) z; I& P# v2 I
碑，市场开始乐观认为，以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批，目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准，包括贝莱德、富/ d G$ }/ M- s- m6 t, [, |+ B
达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。
# b8 x4 ]5 W' J" \9 C/ g& ]SEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月，其他申请则在
o9 i6 g( w3 w! z7 w5 D& g2024年的6~8月内。. ^% _4 z& o" U }! a
以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出？& [$ {- l( O. J) l* R* X! {% R
而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示，52.4%网友认为，美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF，9.8%的, Z& O' }$ w& B- ]1 O
网友更乐观，预期本月就能获得批准，另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准，11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。
. _, H+ u- @7 [$ p! X然而，美国投资银行TD Cowen认为，SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF，TD Cowen Washington Research% I: V) @8 Q; \5 T* ~/ R: M
Group在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示：预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP
8 G" O9 z! A7 v3 _中获取经验，然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月，但很可能要到美国
& Q- ?. Q" I3 s总统大选之后。
7 v. Q4 I& S& ~, V/ v8 u' h# c1 D摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性，他向The Block表示： _3 M4 y* H4 o7 P# S
我们认为，如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF，就需要将以太坊归类为商品，而非证券，类似于比特币，但这还
& p- j, i4 m) P& Y4 n0 Y* J7 t' Z远未确定，我认为，SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性，不会超过50%。
6 l7 I/ X F2 M7 R& E% ^以太坊价格一度飙升
* }1 [3 ?% z; m t- k此前，由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批，在比特币现货ETF通过后，以太坊价格一度狂飙，再加上贝莱
6 x5 I7 z8 D$ ], b7 q- `( p德执行长LarryFink发布言论，称看到以太坊ETF的价值，以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元，创下自2022年5月9日
3 h) K9 H7 ?/ Y0 W以来的新高，不过随后又急挫。
- y& ?; V, h! ~8 u- ~至截稿前，报2551美元，近24小时跌幅0.1%。/ h* ]8 A$ v* _2 c; A
尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批，但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示，3 Y1 Y, l- n8 B2 M5 u: Y: U9 [
SEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时，已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品，他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货: y" y4 L4 g4 i& Y
ETF上市。
) y/ N2 s1 [. c, ~. ^0 y5 F: h) @$ C. ^9 R2 H
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