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[lastpost] => 2808814 韩国加密货币交易所监管和内部控制方面存在的更深层次的漏洞。（转） 1771936228 人生如赌
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
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认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
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* b; Q$ L/ R: N* A0 E而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富& R) L7 s5 u7 G( w6 z
" j" _4 V; H5 s# @; y& U的千禧一代。
% `7 R( W9 i3 t# e, x. t$ a U从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB/ B! R* A8 n0 p: R: c
8 t4 p4 Y+ A" R$ @" u* @) D9 C的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“2 l% b2 J4 B a$ h# Y$ w
" b( e8 {3 h5 X2 i Z; v
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加; E# Q( F- D0 b- Y4 x
9 ^* n3 Q8 l6 q" p _
密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
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% g7 Q/ S0 L: ]3 \% n2 h% g8 J《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成; V) @) ^$ b# J( R2 u
) } D) k: O: c/ T% ?的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》" l* [# S# `: P; `* R2 M
" k$ m! j' J9 g5 K* s# Q+ M报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
/ h& ?7 g5 Z8 ` {: o. D2 G& Z1 _% w6 `0 F0 o; [/ Y
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为. a% f5 |# x% W: `
4 E' H% n2 P* W5 P4 O7 WETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。; R# |9 ~* }# V
% F+ N3 W3 s) w" D/ a据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。 F1 q( s/ o3 |2 X- b
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与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密5 v4 L$ e5 ^% } ?4 l/ y/ S( _
5 f5 ?& r) |* p& S2 D9 X% t( H
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
6 \! G6 M# M7 u" _9 s! g0 ?/ n) |! h8 L( s
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不) {( @ ]5 H* b/ {$ f ]' R$ _" r
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到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一6 @5 ^* Q0 {, n% n
1 ^$ I1 p% S3 g8 @( ^& m' o代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成, W% T' ^2 M8 Q. Q( n! b% y" z2 {
1 y- P4 W' R& F6 G+ L* r6 n% c本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体* T* q( O) u, ~
& I2 X3 S- C; j/ z9 X$ a/ }系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货! ], g+ }/ W' e! C7 r% J
( e: h1 d, x$ b4 x币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致# O$ i6 E# L+ R. B$ B6 ?! T
$ M9 `; R- j. e; [未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
/ d% }, ~! |8 {( t1 T
$ p, Q- }' w6 c5 h/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。8 ^% k, y4 D3 e) z- J8 \
8 B; w; C/ v7 X' T
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