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[lastpost] => 2796167 稳定币需求成为主流！发行方通过以太坊赚取 50 亿美元（转） 1768174058 sunnyclare001
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人9 P1 E+ U: ^0 G( U" q* R! {1 L
5 N; h8 Z6 y" R; A2 w认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
6 G# P6 O% Y8 Z6 l1 H8 j+ P1 F/ s; X) v- q. I1 L, P! d+ J
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
* Q1 y) ~7 z5 n0 ^" S. |4 z* g4 W7 ?+ s: e: V/ D. f g* `
的千禧一代。; r5 Z: X' C4 w* M- Y) l3 }
从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
/ i K l0 T. x- P5 ]0 E8 Q6 C2 g1 ~+ b. {3 I' N7 t
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“6 F2 q8 k1 @0 V; ?
" ?* d3 `, L* ~0 F* K0 V
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
% H8 K5 G: ^) s7 J8 ]4 J
* [9 a7 k* j! l1 ^1 R密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据2 g. ]) f8 J9 H5 ]5 N
3 l, s/ O) ^2 A; ?' k
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
; C% u% s# y" s8 k2 [' d4 Y$ q9 y0 q( v$ a
的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》
+ V6 w; `" J4 ?$ }7 W$ v7 n# }
: A9 e7 q0 T; }* G; ^5 f报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；" n7 Y5 p" V! `$ g0 w" A
6 E) X. ]# ^+ P. r) }1 R10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
/ l4 q& |9 j$ Y
% q! O+ i% m% l# c4 V+ S7 E: sETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。
4 |2 T' y2 i6 a
}9 h6 D. ^! W: D* |据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降 K' h* |" {* A4 ^/ {) J0 E) d
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。) H/ P5 O7 C2 g
( J' A- x: S9 u0 ]
与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密* {* ~/ O! O9 i) `, v4 q
( m: n! X4 T8 n# `7 \% `6 Z$ a世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
. r* ~7 a# R0 }- [- _) {: |* v y$ {
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不
2 V8 K I/ }1 V* I+ I" i1 k
; A. |& G' l3 n( a& B0 O( c到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
2 @; j1 Q7 K0 q/ b8 y7 i. s, c! p- M" }' s; |
! q3 `: j7 P6 y0 k N8 d4 T代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成& l! W- j. P7 r2 m
% c* D8 ]- u! C3 O0 C8 _本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体' u) p5 ]8 ]' P% o! c, u# j. ?
0 x3 s( P( G: G) y( N, o3 m
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货/ L; x2 {+ [( P4 H2 l( Z% e3 I y& t
! u. h* T: Y( d# T0 i' {! y
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致! Z0 m- l, k6 \7 |" _
7 G+ [! G* g! X' q: f. k5 C
未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
# E; L0 C+ T/ ^7 J, Y d! k5 S2 L- V! D% o) A) S, \* I
/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
7 X5 h8 ~4 z1 K. C- A0 p2 C2 H
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