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[lastpost] => 2808777 沉睡七年的比特币巨鲸苏醒，转移了 2043 个比特币（转） 1772012992 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
) \; W' Y/ V6 A n# N$ p3 f) `至少有以下几个原因：
7 m9 @ r) K4 m% F4 J5 }
) W5 ?4 F% ?2 E( D5 b2 e1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。$ d( G/ w: N: w. T: t
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在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化 b' y# d, ?! C% H1 x V$ H
$ _ ]8 }4 K+ F- ^, _ t- J1 i
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案0 N1 M4 ]8 y0 b
; ?: y( ]2 f5 y
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
: y: ]$ V5 X4 w) ?, |! Q2 M9 n- C9 ~! x) M2 |7 q2 P
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数. r. y J3 f4 X1 `: ~1 c
, T0 J$ K/ s) e4 ]. ~据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
3 l. B# k0 v2 n9 p& {8 ^2 k
6 v- r5 Q3 U( m. ^% L. }( h. V7 [达到200亿美金）
7 j9 W1 g0 n& s" {2 ~. L9 }1 ~7 O9 w# {/ V
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
1 o& Y' D' h9 t* ?, h$ C$ {: r5 J L; x
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化4 U! V# B3 W. O) y* G7 E# l6 s
% B( ]$ J1 x% H* F的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。$ b& [! j' i$ i+ _" Q
3 a2 N! x: u. ~2 Y
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大; ]4 O, _/ f' U2 C/ G
- P. D: W) M6 c. E% E8 I7 P% Z资金的信任和青睐。
+ n5 h' F2 M/ m, s: l
3 u: k$ y+ p3 Z& C/ }7 k5 O9 P0 x" \& U4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美9 Y9 U$ o* U& u
; e' q& }0 p, \1 e6 r' I* y7 M! s9 b& x金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入4 b: a, u- |! K. T
- [6 |+ ?1 m2 `' ]比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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