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6 c1 f6 }6 X- {6 R比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 3 B4 S$ W5 U/ H" I) W$ t$ X
0 X. R# @, ^& ^* J监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
, ^& v. G% P @2 }: J0 {
' H9 F3 n2 U3 k* [专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 1 [. R6 ~) v, }, X, p
5 q3 r1 C# c& X有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技# o% z9 j& c1 {
, x; Y- q4 y4 G3 H
股等风险较高的投资。
4 \3 |5 {$ t$ I; L
9 \% h4 g7 Q) B% I; E3 U! P2 p芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储, e% z8 n4 d+ [" V4 z
/ h- w5 j: f/ |5 O1 K
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 & I- V; q" z) U$ ?, v H
9 G2 J/ y% m, I* J现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动0 q% C6 T/ i/ u' K" L% N T; C( _
' s7 f' ?. i" V% R3 K+ ^因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
# F8 x5 I1 ` \7 H2 M5 k, C5 L" f- M! U6 r0 d
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
3 @. {6 h9 m* c4 I* }9 q0 W
3 p) m- L+ p [- E7 C3 z1 I更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
; d6 P7 Q" u6 ]) Y! x8 ^% A/ p) x
仍有许多交易商可能买入。 : P0 z6 `1 e) j
$ w t$ r2 @, }8 [8 j
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的8 W2 j/ ~6 r% Y& l9 h6 G/ L
6 _; F" S! z) a* r- e% d6 i, G8 `! s$ _& d
推动力之一。
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5 O' l' P6 b" a1 m8 [026 t: D" m' N9 A
" Y* s0 I7 [# n; g7 Q& a1 O有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 9 d* t! i- n- ~8 M# d
O* e4 G7 `/ T' L1 f) {7 ~需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
N8 A4 s; f, v: _: ^
. R+ a- J1 g3 k- |% B加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣: d; D$ \" m ~" b
# N( ^& `& T) S9 B的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” 7 G! O! p; G/ V/ ]5 v5 p
* g; f. ]8 f* j+ K0 q2 D
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
: Z7 J9 v" L! p4 t+ n: Q- l
) z, @7 D; |2 [- I% I. j/ j, s今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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