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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再跌破2.6万美元!但BTC、ETH交易所余额创5年新低(转载)
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加密货币市场波动性持续走低,比特币在2.6万美元窄幅震荡超十天后,今(28)日下午19 K& a8 a1 e1 E
点半左右再度跌破,撰稿当下报25,969美元,过去30天内的跌幅达11.2%。
3 D) o+ E4 T3 f" }' {但近期的下跌不同于此前熊市的绝望,市场似乎有不少投资者更倾向于判断当下已接近熊市的尾声,以下是他们 o% B. k& V- r# ^7 e, A/ G
常提出、看好市场将反转的讯号。: D/ g1 s) g+ N9 m- s
比特币、以太坊在交易所余额创下五年新低
5 b+ O. j ^ [+ R据Glassnode数据,比特币和以太币在交易所的余额创下近5年低点,当前BTC在交易所的余额仅为2,256,045
+ k# P# e! d% n1 D, h& v枚,ETH的余额为14,736,436枚。& o3 H8 I9 A5 s; Q2 P
Crypto Quant:机构抄底囤BTC V! f o2 L8 p
另一方面,据CryptoQuant.com从钱包的存提数据指出,机构正在不断买入比特币。另有2.77万枚BTC从交易所
7 v: d/ I' A, Y M! j- k+ e- V kGemini的钱包地址中取出,分别被转移到地址开头为1QB、1Et和35g等钱包。推测机构可能在此段期间选择抄底
9 I$ v% G% i* Q( ]; T买入,等待牛市到来在转至交易所卖出获利。5 s$ l! O/ h& W2 x" J; A1 ?
另一方面,CryptoQuant.com数据显示,过去一年,美国交易所Coinbase、Gemini和Kraken的比特币储备下降# z$ @' C, C1 Z
了至少30%、甚至超50%;但相反的,币安、OKX和Bitfinex等非美国交易所的比特币储备则增加10%以上。推测
0 @% c5 D9 B: {2 f+ g/ A$ h/ V此现象与市场冷清和交易所受到监管打击有关。
* |/ h( I3 ~4 A; S3 d( Q市场关注减半行情、比特币现货ETF
2 j- Y! a# z4 G同时间,明年比特币将迎来减半行情,这在中长期以来,一直被认为是启动加密市场大幅上涨的强力催化剂。
: a! ?0 b) p6 O' Q再加上市场也特别关注比特币现货ETF是否会顺利通过SEC的审查。本月初,彭博资深ETF分析师Eric Balchunas6 y w2 [) H% E
曾透露:「比特币现货ETF的批准可能会在四到六个月内,而不是『是否』的问题,大大加强了即将通过的预期。; w; k) ?0 c t7 B% u2 c, C @9 G& G" X) a
上述两个事件的发展也都有可能为比特币带来强大推力,值得我们持续关注。但还是要提醒,目前联准会的紧缩
: C) d- |; P7 Q6 z+ T2 B货币政策仍然未松绑、全球经济前景仍然暧昧不明,投资者在做决定前必须做好准备、小心控管风险。1 t# |9 ?0 ?) H" h0 `# w1 L% n
( [* Y& p% j/ Z- X0 c0 c; p5 Y
. @ m" _8 L0 ~ |
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这个币安交易所听说很厉害啊,才创立多少年就被称三大交易所了! |
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