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[体育菠菜心得方法] 《足球财富》-第3部分 大小球研究-第1章 大小球指数分析--[第三节2（1）]
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二、波胆赔率分析法下的投注策略' F  ?8 L  u) \
     在掌握了利用波胆赔率分析进球数的方法后，可以将这些方法应用于实战中的投注策略。这种以波胆分析为前提的投注策略可以归纳为：进球最小化排除法和即时比分排除法。1 S+ |, W7 Q% Y6 f0 p
     （一）进球最小化排除法
" Z  l' J6 o  `8 g& p     该方法要点是，通过波胆分析方法，对小球范围内的1-0、0-0、0-1这三种小球比分$ s! t4 T. C3 e
     进行排除。得出分析结论后，可以在比赛进行时（走地）双方都无进球状情况下投注大球。如半场0-0时买入全场1.5球或1.75球。举例说明如下：
+ B$ ^( L0 A* t  m( H     
8 v' ?# A  Y  |! Z     卡利亚里 2-0 桑普多利亚2 r6 i0 e9 s& y2 t
     比赛时间： 2009年11月08日; X/ m1 K6 S( s5 q8 m% I
     澳盘初盘： 1.08平手/半球0.78
) {6 N% X1 D5 F6 d     澳盘终盘： 1.07平手/半球0.79# z2 Z8 l+ r6 o( [! ~
     4 `& n# y7 d4 O) n3 G
     主队胜波胆赔率 客队胜波胆赔率 平局胜波胆赔率 返还率9 H! A' w4 `; N6 Q  W1 e
     赛果 $ Y: c* _: S& A2 M7 ~; P7 R- h
     1:0 2:0 2:1 3:0 3:1 3:2 4:0 4:1 4:2 4:3 0:1 0:2 1:2 0:3 1:3 2:3 0:4 1:4 2:4 3:4 0:0 1:1 2:2 3:3 4:4% E5 X' {& B. \" L  O
     韦德
. p( r, K/ y  F4 A( q     7.5 10 8 23 21 26 81 34 51 8 13 9 41 29 29 81 81 67 9 5.5 15 51 73.28%
0 Y1 Q$ i1 [+ |) i2 r5 L# Q     7.5 10 8 23 21 26 81 34 51 8 13 9 41 29 29 81 81 67 9 5.5 15 51 73.28%6 ]9 q4 S( p. e2 x$ G1 c  `- v
     威廉希尔
. G$ z) H& X+ ^5 i; _     7 10 8.5 23 19 26 81 34 51 101 8 12 10 34 26 29 101 81 101 101 7.5 6 13 51 101 70.87%
: Z. ^( _$ V5 U0 l1 m0 z     7 10 8.5 23 19 26 81 34 51 101 8 13 11 34 26 29 101 81 101 101 8.5 6 13 51 101 72.47%+ b0 b0 E2 K& A9 E3 _
     澳门
% T6 n! @5 Z7 y0 _/ |     7 11 9 23 19 30 70 30 52 91 8 11 9.5 30 24 30 85 70 105 105 8 5.5 12 63 260 70.65%$ E9 B* V8 t4 a1 Y$ P* s
     7 11 9 23 19 30 70 30 52 91 8 11 9.5 30 24 30 85 70 105 105 8 5.5 12 63 260 70.65%
' v- s' i2 j( B- }  a6 W! S     立博 ' C1 X) B- G+ S" j
     6 9 9 26 19 26 67 34 51 7 12 11 41 29 29 6 6 15 51 71.29%- o! `1 i! w. g6 ~7 \) v2 @2 \
     6 9 9 26 19 26 67 34 51 7 12 11 41 29 29 6 6 15 51 71.29%
9 u- x7 E' }2 ?5 A     双方的历史交锋记录中，主队1-0小胜的次数较多，而韦德在1-0的比分上给出的7.5倍赔率，此赔率对于这种打出机会很大的比分而言明显太过于便宜。而在0-0比分上，立博的6倍和韦德的9倍存在很大差异，因此也可以排除。在0-1的比分上，各家公司都一致在这个项目上出现赔率数值的交叉，而该比分并不符合双方实际状况，因此存在被炒作嫌疑，也可做排除考虑。在排除了三种只有1个进球以内的可能性后，那么本场比赛的进球格局就基本清晰了。在实际操作中，如赛前大小球盘口为2.5球，鉴于意甲联赛进球时间都较为迟缓，则可考虑在比赛开始后的走地阶段等到1.5-1.5/2球时入市。这种在排除进球最小化可能的前提下，适时出击大球的方法，不失为一种低风险高回报的投注策略。

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提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽

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太复杂了，数字看的头晕的很。

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新人来学习下，谢谢楼主。

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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
谢谢楼主的心得分享！

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谢谢楼主的分享,楼主辛苦了

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太复杂，表示看不懂

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