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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 + t. ~, x+ M7 }: n
行情补充、
+ |) K, W. a, J在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 , g) s% J/ M6 X4 @0 f! ?# v
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 , y! ^% ], X! L
关于疑问、一一回复。
& ]* J6 Q, [1 W今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
2 @; r& o8 T0 N# M: E
7 U- A+ a7 t D
首先就个人的主观来说、
( ~" P. X0 T' D对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
. |! Z1 _ f, ?+ [* J5 ~9 C极度憧憬市场的未来！ + q5 i* \1 k4 `! P& t4 c$ g7 d
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
5 A. Q) a0 H. ^最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
& N, i1 y# D: x: }0 e而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
) u1 W$ B/ s* }/ J会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 7 p# m9 c/ ]$ x4 A
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
3 s: R$ v2 L% n7 V& {其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 7 M% U5 g1 N H& j& ^% g
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
3 U3 T0 p4 Q/ S9 L: [- l- [2 `+ X为什么会跌、 3 c* w; A# ]9 X+ a1 t9 C8 x
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 , D$ D+ ]9 v/ V d
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 & @9 u' k. z/ o4 R7 V0 F; `7 M
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 0 _" f/ d+ I, J. ~
综上造成的下跌、
1 V- `' P/ V1 u9 x& q4 \% J3 T这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
2 B# |/ T# e+ I# F, H也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
" N1 X6 e z- Z( T5 v- A熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
; @# x* \9 t! s# |$ M3 ^来决定行情是否好转。 * h# c1 R. z! g3 ~
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
: z/ h) d" \$ t2 ?8 |6 ]0 c在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
( w7 {) j; @, g0 U- ]9 h" k) r短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 - m9 H3 M: Y, z$ I3 [4 c
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 ( `; A- \* N1 A9 W2 e
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 9 ?0 l2 L6 D/ n$ q; d! F
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
# p8 E8 e6 o& P7 `/ {日内大饼反弹、 ' [ i- l$ j" P4 a1 D( [ Q6 C
26150高空 ; `# b% d! G" L, B$ P% m
26350补仓 $ V- j) S( Y- U& z) O6 L
26550防守
4 `6 F( g$ p2 a; n+ F) I目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 ( f+ V a& T, P
以太反弹 6 ?7 l, ^$ t' e. b* d6 {/ L
1380高空 * D1 O0 v* F1 z/ y
1400补仓
, |9 t+ o* F, P8 l& E1420防守
# c& c7 ` ~, I; H目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 $ n5 ~+ }1 ?( Z+ s4 U5 h) D% n/ h# Z
附言、
- G$ u* l( ~2 E1 W% ?0 K1 b许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
: Z' W+ B* {# e2 {是正常现象，
, q3 D1 V0 ~+ ?& l+ E合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 / w% @( I3 p) b
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
! c# h* S: P( B: g: D大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 ; U& m( g8 K+ \
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
# O3 i9 N& ~2 B2 b+ R6 z7 y* O# x5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 % l& Y; Z6 {' T3 E; N
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
! T/ H- s# U$ g相信七月公布时，会较理想。 2 D1 u) c6 i& E9 d* |
但现阶段，要承受的住。
: E# Q1 S' o+ G. q. b最后再强调、现货勿割。 , j- t0 d9 R8 ^: W, ?0 @$ U
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
: k8 f: r: J l3 Y. l4 f" j) e个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 5 ?& {; n- H! L7 Y4 x' c* x
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 ; Z) D/ z/ G" G j$ Q6 L! {
这个市场， 5 Z. D7 e6 e. i+ E/ M1 c
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 9 f/ n" q1 F2 T% I$ d1 j6 A B
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 0 H3 e* A. Z" g% i
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
: @1 {4 @4 n: N7 n3 j h9 c, J# s但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
( ^8 o7 G6 j& P6 W- K1 C来源：金色财经 |
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