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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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$ H* f- L, H7 ^! @' J1 t& W: C8 _
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
" h: k9 R! A/ X- B: T* B7 y7 D2 N. G, D) G1 j, a
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。 _* f1 c- ]5 _
, w, U" o* g4 g. f1 G" |/ t3 d* L为什么？+ T0 u0 f; b+ b4 S$ D
& Y+ i' a; A/ Z3 n% G2 E* T1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。' Z1 ~" K* C+ b! y, {
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
: Z3 r- }1 I* M( _5 f" ^8 h 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。- M) b- U* R+ ?6 ^
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
9 U* b8 h$ g+ T2 v 第一把输，你没有了。
8 j% G; x/ T9 P/ y6 U" l2 O 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。( M/ N# X( R% }! z+ ~
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
# `6 m7 W. ^5 H' `+ Z3 A* g' e …………无限下去。: `4 s, l# `5 T3 r# N$ m
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。3 G- v2 `! g! E
7 t! Q# {5 B- q为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。4 A# `; ~ U" b( v$ N1 z
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
& U6 b9 O7 Q8 O0 a! J, y& B" p
8 d. t3 \" J& X但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。8 Q+ g$ H. D$ i
8 ?" ?/ Y5 V, k
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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