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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
0 C! r& F, B' y7 c7 w- }2 L8 Q比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。0 b$ q6 r' Q! c% @7 V" o0 L
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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% J M# n3 Q3 A9 C4 \尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。 Z/ u0 S2 |! g8 E! X- a) M0 x! f( F
{7 {- b4 X8 F) L: a8 Y鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
$ h) P. s8 z N6 Z- |! r鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
8 C# d7 n( @4 T" g3 b# G. y6 F! K0 K6 c6 e8 w0 X
但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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3 C+ f( J( m+ W$ b* }) Z) n因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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' Q M {% k2 y4 m3 Q, R: N5 |8 |最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。9 M4 T5 }7 X# p. Y8 t
9 b* T2 G0 l/ Q& a& T' Y: A这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
8 `$ u0 F$ y( h4 L7 ?& ~6 [; _; z( j) Y J
然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。! v" ? z$ p3 }) \( Y3 V1 m
- b! w9 I2 O+ P: @ P估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突2 C* I3 ^0 l2 N% t( z
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。) X1 C9 L# X8 @2 S# Z
0 Z* @4 f( q+ f) r
PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。1 [$ L2 e7 ?8 G1 ]# h
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 m2 H% b |+ N
/ [8 \9 t( `& g5 o2 z相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
+ z* ?; O/ a {4 x8 z& b
# x" \- B* Y1 }( d如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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! v) V; b# o6 m( ` S结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？' H' t" u) t" W. |) E% [
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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e s, _( ?* E) l但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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