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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。+ A+ g5 t! Y* O2 {2 m9 q8 {
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。5 N6 C. N& h1 p. r$ r
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。" B# P" U3 w. m& |
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。5 E% u3 }. n0 M. p
) P5 X2 q8 u$ i4 ]+ h然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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1 ?5 W V1 e n0 j- B! h+ N根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。; f. D! h4 r5 h' r: a7 g& G3 x
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。7 ?( j8 \* N s6 a( l! b4 r0 S7 Z
' T& L5 Z) k) E. B* w当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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8 W. _* p( G9 Q. y) ^) C# ]比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微% A9 Y8 m) r. e, P' D& K/ L
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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: Y9 J7 _0 T' v* n+ R2 q本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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现货交易商调整 V' n3 k- Y0 g, ~
; \: j* [# p: f现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。( o0 r2 G" p6 f$ E" J2 g5 K" }; D" \& _
' q: m; r) B1 ]2 H" w" r仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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( M' a+ Z: l! X% v2 V如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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