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[lastpost] => 2782940 随着 Opera MiniPay 与拉丁美洲的整合，稳定币消费走向主流化（转） 1763599104 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
Peter Schiff：比特币现货ETF获准可能对币价产生灾难性影响（4日转）
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; e" r; e6 i) K$ `尽管市场对美国当局可能批准第一档比特币现货ETF充满期待，知名比特币怀疑论者、
( O) x* _3 c; I提倡拥抱黄金的Peter Schiff警告，比特币狂热人士要小心不要抱持过多期望。
& e6 S! o+ ?( c# uPeter Schiff在社群平台X上贴文表示，比特币现货ETF获准可能对比特币价格产生灾难性影响。他说，关于美国上
5 N- N: ?' g: O( b$ ?市推出比特币现货ETF的展望，已经支撑了比特币的价格和投机性需求长达数年。这代表，如果预料中的机构投资7 s# t* r: H/ a$ l& d! `+ q
需求没有来临，就算ETF获得核准上市，比特币价格也会暴跌，「当心冲击！」6 i& O/ [9 q7 A" Q x
Peter Schiff长期来一直对比特币持怀疑态度，而且多年来持续预测比特币会灭亡，然而比特币每轮周期的表现都
- {6 g' ~( K$ J7 Y9 Y0 ^3 q% E/ c证明他是错的。他的推文收到比特币支持者的大量留言，这些支持人士提醒他，正如黄金ETF并没有减损实体黄金
" S8 z2 J5 `% p8 @ v的需求一样，如果出现比特币现货ETF，只会为比特币市场增添动能。1 J5 R3 E- F, }* d
然而，搜集许多数据的顾问业者Matrixport也提醒说，比特币支持人士可能必须再等更久的时间，才能见到首档
+ l, v4 u6 n& E9 T! u# w2 c比特币现货ETF在美国上市。该公司预测，美国证管会(SEC)可能会在1月10日的最终期限否决所有比特币现货ETF
; d9 v+ ^: m& |0 n! S的申请。
& a0 Z5 B3 o, d( W) A3 K9 qMatrixport的最新预测和许多ETF分析师先前的预测截然相反，一些分析师预期这些申请案有90%的机率会在1月* M1 x7 M* X, ?- X5 a0 P
10日的最终期限前闯关成功。不过，Matrixport表示，尽管ETF申请者频繁与SEC的工作人员开会，但「所有申请/ l! v. x' e8 K0 |/ I
案都没有达到能获得SEC核准前必须达到的关键要求。」Matrixport表示，预期在2024年的第2季前，都不会见
# t" M& C2 X' G( |% ?6 S到有任何一档比特币现货ETF获准上市。7 d% Q3 B5 j) I' T
该公司的分析指出，目前在SEC的五人投票委员小组中，包括SEC主席Gary Gensler在内的民主党人占了多数地3 c7 O& h9 w; G/ B
位，因此不太可能投票通过核准比特币现货ETF。5 _+ g& W8 U5 t; B6 \- V% f9 d
许多报告援引匿名消息人士预测，第一档比特币现货ETF会在1月2日前获得核准，然而这并没有发生。随着SEC在0 Q# e; b3 X& `) R
1月10日做出决定的最后期限逼近，市场的乐观情绪正转变为怀疑，证据包括加密货币挖矿公司的股价走软，而且
: D' y4 H0 ~' ?8 d F4 \几档与比特币相关的美国股票卖压涌现。此外，比特币在1月3日盘中一度大跌9%。9 T' ^ }1 _0 @* m
彭博社ETF分析师Eric Balchunas先前一直看好比特币现货ETF有99%的机率会在2024年第1季获准上市，现在他
" ^' a+ a! N. v; u' C相信，SEC仍有「些许」机会可能拒绝比特币现货ETF的申请案。
) c2 M3 h$ z8 p G
9 C }* y8 o2 Z% l. l% P5 N2 s0 [) }
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产生灾难性影响的是要看啊: \ b l8 ?$ M; v9 ?9 k8 J2 J
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