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[lastpost] => 2810167 XRP 持有者从交易所撤回代币，与此同时 XRP ETF 资金流入超过 12 亿美元（转） 1772385215 叫我十三
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人; d/ y2 Z1 Z' r0 p
8 a: e& y, [0 v+ q
认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
3 z2 J" J# Y' d6 p2 o# y8 x( C! r$ C/ i! P1 @
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富& l2 L1 c$ H6 a1 ]6 |: P
* G4 L# X9 P& c' K" o: o
的千禧一代。
' P. G6 s6 |/ d1 W4 L3 n从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
2 j1 E5 _& C5 @( p) U& n; K( V4 h! W" @
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
/ J8 {. Q/ Q- \, e8 V. J
. f3 N6 U' b9 B# K& `: s 时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
" X8 j% @$ f0 t
0 F6 K8 o- E" c: s, o c密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
6 ?3 D6 V" x9 ^0 a' z0 y/ M2 w5 t5 C' m$ s R5 z. j% M
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成. A% M- c! W: `; L! W; f
. h9 d [' ?& q4 P M
的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》
) v3 m8 e; a3 g& M9 j( i# F8 N2 `: q0 s3 M& |( j- [+ K
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；. I$ }8 L7 M, x8 B5 L9 Z' _# X" E. U; A
O. N, j; y3 o8 W
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
) c$ ^7 k5 V" j5 Z) e' R& D! I0 j; u8 } B4 j% L
ETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。
! z; X9 J; H7 k! g+ D6 } W0 S8 C3 C: A
据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降$ }$ H) S; M& M$ W" E
& ?0 v6 s+ t+ j6 B
息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。
v0 b% n U8 y/ D; Q1 W) Q
6 E; q! [) Q& k! p2 [" z1 o% V6 [/ Y与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
# Z! V2 {0 L- e" o2 w' N9 i$ E& D# E: z/ X0 h& E, u- G: q
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富4 _: q7 u- M5 P3 S. [4 L
3 J+ ~+ P# [4 i" F; ^- ~; ~
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不* G8 n' }$ B4 j4 Y: W1 P
' i, k7 L6 `! M0 a1 D' l7 l到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一; W# |; I1 i( a# d, T t, t
5 a4 M* B1 ^2 m. y6 v/ P0 ]3 `$ u& P5 I
代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成
; i9 v5 q0 @8 q5 C; r8 A
. o! y0 k1 j8 T4 K& l) C本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体; A" q: E2 \, w0 o4 }6 C0 J
7 [: B6 s6 d# D" w r系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货
% @4 O% {8 c( W: Z. X
% P* H/ y3 @6 ^4 ?币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
8 b) R( Z8 h, s j
& |5 f+ Y2 O: |( B# D8 p2 ^; N: A' c未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
+ I; y4 W/ j) n7 T, T; I }$ Y0 r9 w
/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
) M5 f6 V# t* T% v E* t
; J. j1 N' u1 a! t1 ^/ K) B1 z% {2 F- s, V7 l+ z$ K9 g3 f/ P
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