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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 0 m* E. Q$ {, _$ D, ^
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
( R8 `9 N3 J; f! @8 J$ A, M8 T; H% J- ^0 m5 H" w" ?2 F7 Z# i) W
专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 3 b# Y0 o0 ]3 f! [; e0 V4 J
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技' i( W1 s7 ?' d* x( C
, h& f5 \7 C- ?' r: E; C! C股等风险较高的投资。 , J, y) G! Z5 X& ]/ ~0 n T
, B z" b: x: |$ t) p6 O! D' B芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储! [- C2 N. N4 C4 v! k
4 \! ^" O2 F- n# L% X1 ^$ l- f. j
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 4 X7 j- p- v2 x4 ^; ^
% K3 x | ~7 @9 |; S6 J* B* I+ i5 M
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
8 L& Y& \) |# ~% c$ O2 m6 F
2 p' A N1 N( z+ L, K8 t# M因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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, H4 G9 Y% G* N8 L6 U7 v& V$ c更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此7 J/ X* k) Q: _" q8 M7 R
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 7 B9 Z5 ?7 `. |% k
1 h& W$ W4 [, b1 x) Q库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的1 Z! ]0 y4 d+ [# w7 @
! v8 g' j& N$ S1 N推动力之一。 / X0 `( }% Q* d+ ?
7 B2 |' l5 A4 P1 d j( Y02: G) E U) A- m# v3 x# s
2 a8 `) ` S" K0 F$ B8 d, l有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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. e$ q# [6 |+ z' l3 \需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 / l5 K# E) p2 h
1 ~+ I/ {3 g- @$ M9 X: G+ T加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至 d& |# i; w9 L z
" j+ @) ~% K$ B今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 & t+ X+ Q; R( H& q; W
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