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[虚拟币交流]
比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金（转载）
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近期，多家机构的报告都对比特币的走势作出乐观判断，如老牌交易所Bitfinex曾在上
" l+ w) K( q Y9 ]. s周的研报指出比特币的抛压持续减小，已出现牛市信号。
3 F0 y8 v$ E9 ?* Q但与此同时，加密货币基金似乎并未随着比特币的上涨而在绩效上大获成功，投资机构21e6 Capital AG就发布报
0 Q v6 o% x8 m! v4 `% W0 \* h告指出当前加密基金领域存在的系列问题。
, ~& q1 ^8 B$ {$ u% ~& U比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金4 s0 i: [3 P- v& @9 C# N: F1 j
21e6 Capital AG的营销主管Maximilian Bruckner指出，比特币HODL战法(买入现货并长期持有)在2023年上半
; @& Q1 i" e' Z9 P年的收益率表现优于68.8%加密货币基金。: b# ?* w b4 d0 o( S! {5 ]
数据显示，2023年上半年加密货币基金的平均回报率为15.2%，但BTC的涨幅约84%，整整高了5倍以上：今年所; d7 A: ~1 W: u4 T2 l+ N5 W8 m
有加密货币基金策略都取得了积极的成果。但相对于比特币，它们表现不佳，尤其是那些大量接触山寨币、期货
1 s2 @" w$ s; j) {" w3 o或强烈依赖动量信号的货币。
. ^& e. ?1 O# K) o) E% Q按照过往历史，报告指出在此前的牛市中，加密货币基金的表现通常会优于比特币，但Bruckner认为以下几点原
$ `5 |% A1 Z0 b: }6 K因的出现，改变了这个现象：: d9 Q) ~8 O/ Q; [0 z8 {
监管机构加强压力、及充满挑战的市场环境+ R: ^2 S' p" H$ }* ^
投资表现落后于比特币的竞争币，拖累绩效
5 Y" L+ D6 O6 U, N# ]1 _基金出现风险厌恶情绪，2022年底起开始普遍持有大量现金并观望4 t8 B4 G6 u1 t" B3 t2 g
2022年加密货币交易所FTX倒闭带来的消极情绪，尚未完全被消化9 t2 s# d6 V! A }
不过Bruckner仍对这些基金未来的发展表示看好，虽然它们在上半年并未跑赢比特币的涨幅，但未来依旧有重新* _6 F: Y: F; C" O. g6 f
大规模押注加密货币、并迎来复合成长的可能性：投资者情绪较2023年上半年略有改善，这表明一些基金可能很
, I: s5 \. [. w快就会开始向加密货币领域注入更多现金。% O5 n9 I8 u; J" F7 o
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