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[虚拟币交流]
比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金(转载)
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近期,多家机构的报告都对比特币的走势作出乐观判断,如老牌交易所Bitfinex曾在上) ]8 n9 _6 x1 P- M S0 {3 {
周的研报指出比特币的抛压持续减小,已出现牛市信号。
9 s6 e9 c9 Z- R; ]但与此同时,加密货币基金似乎并未随着比特币的上涨而在绩效上大获成功,投资机构21e6 Capital AG就发布报
1 @' h5 ~3 I! [4 F V, A9 a- G% X告指出当前加密基金领域存在的系列问题。
' d4 S. d, B8 P* u) t$ \比特币2023年上半年跑赢68.8%的加密货币基金- A9 v9 B N5 a5 @' A
21e6 Capital AG的营销主管Maximilian Bruckner指出,比特币HODL战法(买入现货并长期持有)在2023年上半& [1 R2 N) Q3 E
年的收益率表现优于68.8%加密货币基金。
) ^4 _7 y t1 d数据显示,2023年上半年加密货币基金的平均回报率为15.2%,但BTC的涨幅约84%,整整高了5倍以上:今年所
. q) i- }. Z; x5 m有加密货币基金策略都取得了积极的成果。但相对于比特币,它们表现不佳,尤其是那些大量接触山寨币、期货. j7 r: \3 d, c. q6 q' e' J) B- s
或强烈依赖动量信号的货币。% O& q! G/ ~0 _+ Q
按照过往历史,报告指出在此前的牛市中,加密货币基金的表现通常会优于比特币,但Bruckner认为以下几点原
; |1 o V# r) l* e3 e7 V因的出现,改变了这个现象:4 S1 b5 T4 w2 ~2 W6 ?' P4 C" O% d4 L
监管机构加强压力、及充满挑战的市场环境
+ n# y. z4 w3 j; w投资表现落后于比特币的竞争币,拖累绩效4 M* T) ^. T5 p" r
基金出现风险厌恶情绪,2022年底起开始普遍持有大量现金并观望
. s, h/ m4 Q. a" @8 v8 k) o2022年加密货币交易所FTX倒闭带来的消极情绪,尚未完全被消化# O2 r- T1 v1 L1 ]
不过Bruckner仍对这些基金未来的发展表示看好,虽然它们在上半年并未跑赢比特币的涨幅,但未来依旧有重新 H( P* q8 r" }6 H' ^
大规模押注加密货币、并迎来复合成长的可能性:投资者情绪较2023年上半年略有改善,这表明一些基金可能很
$ o c; F6 q j1 K- q4 u快就会开始向加密货币领域注入更多现金。
3 `" @* k) ]' T9 ?
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