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比特币势创十多年来最大季度跌幅 但苦尽甘来的剧情即将上演?
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比特币势创十多年来最大季度跌幅,但“苦尽甘来”的剧情即将上演?
全球央行鹰派抬头与一系列备受关注的加密货币市场暴雷事件持续打击着投资者市场情绪。也正因如此,比特币有望迎来十多年来表现最糟糕的季度。
数据显示,今年迄今,比特币已下跌58%,创下自2011年第三季度以来的最大季度跌幅,当时比特币还处于起步阶段。
比特币势创十多年来最大季度跌幅,但“苦尽甘来”的剧情即将上演?
自2011年后,加密货币市场经历了几次繁荣和萧条的轮替。随着加密货币逐渐“家喻户晓”,以及全球央行“大水漫灌”时期投资者冒险情绪日趋激烈,加密货币市场的市值一度飙升至3万亿美元的巅峰。但进入2022年,本轮加密货币熊市最引人注目的地方在于,高倍杠杆的退场轰轰烈烈,越来越多国家的央行也加大了“对金融稳定构成威胁”的资产类别进行监管审查的力度。
周四,比特币再度大幅跳水,失守19000大关,跌幅一度扩大至6%。以太坊跌破1000美元/枚,为6月19日以来首次。而波动性更大的山寨币表现更糟,雪崩(Avalanche)和多边形(Polygon)暴跌10%左右。
针对加密货币无限制投机和无拘无束风气的谴责大量涌现,币圈噩耗也接踵而至:
5月,UST与其姊妹币LUNA双双遭遇“死亡踩踏”,几近400亿美元的市值顷刻间灰飞烟灭;随后,由于流动性危机加剧,几家全球较大的加密货币贷方被迫停止提款,置储户于不顾;最近,大名鼎鼎的三箭资本因为过度使用杠杆,最终“玩火自焚”,据称已于日前遭到破产清算。
尽管加密货币市场的前景黯淡至极,但一些分析师指出,有迹象表明,加密货币市场可能已经临近底部。6月29日,包括Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou在内的摩根大通策略师表示,过去几个月加速的“去杠杆化”而进程可能不会持续太长时间。策略师们还指出,5月和6月,风险投资资金持续以稳健的速度进军币圈。
Fundstrat的技术策略师Mark Newton说:“在加密货币市场的十二年历史中,每90周,比特币就会跌到周期性低点,随后便会大幅反弹,身价暴涨。根据这一周期性综合数据,比特币的底部应该不远了。投资者们应该在7月份保持警惕,在加密货币市场情绪似乎接近看跌临界点之际,伺机抄底,并在随后的触底反弹中狠赚一笔。”
来源:金色财经 |
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