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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。3 _. z; M( z6 T! S% W- ~7 P
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
" t+ Z) k3 Y4 `1 |* g# {( t* x1 w( s7 _越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
$ M) E! Y5 _8 v! I4 y6 C* Q你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。7 C R/ c: w0 o; z* j" C
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。2 O& w- b1 u. l; I
alt/btc9 _1 Z) N" F& Q- ]# A' Z3 F
alt/usdt* X4 t, @+ h) u6 T1 @' k: A
那么，发生了什么？
& F5 X" a- _; O: F' k2 f2 x1. 大户轮换资金' ]/ ?% z. I% m# {( `
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
3 |% Z' Q7 [/ Q这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。* `% x! {+ `6 i8 J' F! X; L
但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。% ?( Y( _8 G4 E6 A
2. 市场的防御心理5 N3 X0 Q v1 M0 X7 j/ r u) L
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
X4 ^$ M+ q- y9 R这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。$ ]! B% e+ {0 v. [7 o
3. 需要关注的信号
: N E# @- i M2 H6 S: }) ZBTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
: k3 y0 B) h) r& w5 m1 b$ _山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
: T% k% K4 v! _4 B4 |( cUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。* S1 p/ B4 r" v
4. 对投资者的意义
7 e2 k- A4 }& [: K- N0 m在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
7 |5 L% o; M5 v9 g j$ k如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。/ i: `3 x' [- G/ x( T' P( A
安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。% |3 q0 o' h, |) e# l
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
3 v- [5 A; W* h2 ~2 c2 U4 R#加密货币#
Z% C1 J. R0 \. A
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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