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[lastpost] => 2802670 比特币今日价格：跌至77,000美元，接近10个月低点，受清算和美联储谨慎情绪影响（转） 1770050360 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
4 `3 N c% ^; |: a: Z6 {3 p7 ZAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
7 J" N4 e! h/ x+ C% n6 R9 i" n越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。( R7 t+ P1 n% O
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。1 g1 V2 L3 F$ K& H0 E o2 a
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。 U& g D. R9 d: f
alt/btc
3 a: D: o9 y( u; i% e! Talt/usdt
/ W% D; P* l2 i. \那么，发生了什么？3 A8 F8 y' [2 y @1 b, T+ h/ o" |
1. 大户轮换资金
. q: W; I; F% c3 n; P, ^* r与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。: f, f5 `8 D5 P9 a/ m# e: t3 v
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
* n3 h" r" O4 A/ l6 q但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。7 G' R Q/ w" f% ]
2. 市场的防御心理3 c& {4 ?, c, Q
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。% v% u1 c; g( J E; S: ]
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。 M5 z( Z- j) G# v( v5 B
3. 需要关注的信号
; a6 O, _& ~6 R4 H6 e; fBTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。" o) y+ r/ o% I6 P
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
, g! i, }6 V* J* UUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。4 ^1 |6 g! }" M8 I( v" K2 B
4. 对投资者的意义
* K* `% |3 H5 W" b# J" `在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
* n3 K3 C, n( z如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
$ r: j8 G# Q A! ~安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。* D; a- S) p! m4 b7 _+ N
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
( Z. W8 ~! C' @6 s9 l) ~% N#加密货币#
# q" ?; D% x7 |! `
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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