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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。# s6 c! C. Q- M0 V
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
+ b& \1 j& G- M9 B( N2 j9 _) a, V' r9 d在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。 q% s( Y) H8 C: Q/ x
" _5 A; g$ \! y* ^; r尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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长期持有者没有抛售迹象
& F6 T5 S) H/ d9 I( c- W比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
( A$ Z6 S8 }# k7 U! [3 B+ J4 f) ^- P" C1 f: c6 w" T) ?
值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。 R- i" i0 H6 n
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。, v! R$ z$ J* j( U
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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- u- W. J9 k6 [ G% U: l# c8 v9 LAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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7 |6 W3 F. z# F- w, w3 H9 y现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
1 q: u% j1 ]+ k' L! ~! B% W现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。 L! I) O/ g5 z& U2 D& Q) _
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。! O; g- O+ l& n- m- Y
9 P, l7 M0 L0 j# \6 R7 ?此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。2 M3 J/ W3 M1 L: S7 g( F+ E) D5 _" ~
' l) W; `5 a e+ B0 D6 ^问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。! {# B- f; B1 ~
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？0 w: m) E1 o; B2 `
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。6 O' L8 ^4 e/ }7 f, I3 D& X
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当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
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# }. \6 ^- G% L8 w; K# F当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。1 g3 d2 A+ f6 K. `/ u# B/ x% u! p
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