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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。1 n7 q8 H3 f# I' z
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
: ^" {/ @# ~8 r( I2 O尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。3 h% K* q: H9 X" | T
( ~7 k+ g/ C/ B9 z t市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？3 h6 f2 _1 G# r) V. W
. _, A6 z7 E( l; {" ?0 `随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。$ n( j& i1 {9 Z7 k
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牛un云蒙上阴影& R- D1 s3 V2 @' D
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。+ v) i/ l" t; Y% x9 \7 K0 d6 L' K
1 Y( b. W: \/ S; V即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。+ x" M. A$ K7 {, a& A9 T# S8 J# X
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。 F0 }. B* |. W- u4 R
5 z1 t# _ I5 z' W; j `
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。- A3 z( C% E: W. ? T1 B
( O1 F- u' g( C2 hBTC背后的机构引擎
1 U% }9 A2 d6 W# f: g( m) p在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。, K0 d7 g$ d3 f E( o
+ c' `; w/ S, l, q( P8 C6 ~这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。) x% e+ S z0 H: `
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。/ x4 {0 ^6 b) L3 \& T! X+ x
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。0 U. s+ C6 L9 q( ~2 ?
! {$ s+ q! y( d O" a! K怎么了？
# |: v3 k) ^. V8 m尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。7 p8 A; i+ j* E) {+ Q
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。$ c0 h4 G# q% `
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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