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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，
4 |( z) _- W+ E但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！
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在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。$ x+ [# d7 T9 ^% H/ d
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一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。5 M B# W# \% m/ C1 ^4 m
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我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，. P7 J) y7 U! Y8 F- g' N
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一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。8 Q4 P6 R! p$ E( A) f# M
/ u1 C/ H' x6 `# \山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，
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) z; S" ] s* F# g在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最
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0 Y7 t4 \$ A; T" X) n% W7 w高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币; _4 m: c( ?% V& W# I1 j9 z6 d
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。/ U3 A9 v& s ?3 `, `
5 B0 L8 z3 R% H- v6 K1 }总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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( e0 h# l f; D& M/ R1 Q半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：4 a$ O& n# a2 i' v4 r$ |* B
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。9 j* Y7 U4 c4 p& _5 }) \
, k R6 k( G4 E( g" p2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。. Y6 V. E- e- A; j5 L
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3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态9 J9 g- ?) P: w5 G9 v3 \ m6 |: q
8 v' W# b- {7 ]: r7 r% d6 L6 O* j9 q4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。
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; z/ X; I% h. W- w! Y5 J3 ?5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE
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