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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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: t+ V- N Q! M' s+ d) v目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。2 M" P. s* B4 F/ X4 v' @
5 W! ]2 w( q4 I) O- S- ~" I, y, t目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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5 r- p7 s% o% c根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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3 d( y8 K v' d7 L3 j/ k- k通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。9 H: B: ]+ v) ^5 s6 z7 O
+ z" n3 ]" _3 G* p6 h1 C: `仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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& c( R& Z7 R$ {# U- Q当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。) K K/ n9 z2 |: ?* k# {% q2 i
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
# C0 X0 U$ f3 ]* e7 q$ ?7 j- s' NCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。' [) d( k% }, L* T" m. }
9 _3 u3 l, b/ N6 t3 g1 U, r本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。6 D0 w. `7 ]* m" N4 b, x
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。3 I' I- j+ m7 h. s9 f! f
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现货交易商调整$ y% m+ g1 v8 \
( \2 a" V! D( U) B- F7 S; z现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。7 u4 b F6 u$ P4 Z8 s+ V
% k+ c5 Y$ K: i仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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5 Z' ], s1 E9 |- W. t; b# Y; n0 Y如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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