Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29499
[posts] => 480727
[todayposts] => 17
[yesterdayposts] => 146
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2802855 XRP 清算失衡异常高达 1,407%,令人担忧:是时候担心了吗?(转) 1770168711 22301
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5097 小时
本月在线: 1 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
* n+ J7 R6 N* Q& O: A/ n: @1 @0 Z( i; Z, J2 J/ r
过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。% X9 h e ]& E" ?
- |# H5 j& X) u, }) {1 K) c$ F* ?
PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
6 i: x3 ]+ m- V5 l
& Q. b! L9 V" m, Q' l0 T! ^CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
# a7 H9 F4 Z2 N1 X, R; l" g* @7 n5 C* O5 _, h( a
2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期9 U$ F7 E7 `0 p9 e( i" d
6 [& n# o1 A; |
当前持仓成本:6 v$ c: W7 D0 X& v; ^/ ~& q# {& \
$ G1 U2 h% k) q4 T% E
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;4 i, X3 n7 z& _3 P: H
8 m7 }5 y( O, X$ Z" ?, `/ l) j微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;/ X( W8 H1 g- c+ D' z
8 L3 c2 g+ \7 M: i% J
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
1 V# Q+ s: G* ~
( G2 k3 u( j) G$ _( E; D) y比特币价值回归:
+ o$ n1 {# l7 U8 p& \* k6 @! |
8 w% Y/ u0 O8 z* U市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。; p% v( e9 b' o+ q' U7 L, t0 I
* o2 j- x" s3 A! j$ H随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。3 |1 G& Y+ G" E/ U* B. ^- O
/ K7 U% T, _4 U2 F加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。4 d4 I6 w, X1 Y7 X
# q0 E( T/ U, [- u, H& z3. 市场热点与反弹情况7 L+ E2 U8 Y: j2 K6 P
" V* x' T/ ^' Q; Y) ? V' E
ETH:: B0 x, p- t' i V3 J( v9 d8 U
; C B4 B# z% s; Z2 m
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
' @. Q8 v* O5 }- U* N9 W; \- w3 k- v8 @* @4 Y" R
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。% X' i/ ]0 D& W. r7 `
2 M: J$ u9 }0 \BTC:
0 b0 Z/ Q3 r7 @, f0 O8 A, g3 `0 K1 V8 V+ F. `, n7 g
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。: L) | g8 c8 ~4 [& n
" S9 A7 w' O! z如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。& z1 h) V/ H8 V' P& s( ?
7 k; B. q1 P0 N" F; |/ q
SOL与XRP:
" e; ~& c# H8 v. c6 C) ~1 T: S+ @, M; c" i9 Z7 u
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。" e9 v9 h9 |0 R# i* R4 ^/ ~( f
- t9 w3 {* {+ L5 x: d! w S8 Y
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。% e2 v* a0 Z: u+ J, u( v) E( B" i+ O
0 g" ^. A- z/ s9 k9 I
其他热点项目:& ?/ {2 f% G. A
% b- U) L6 d5 c J
涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
1 h" k' s, H! \: {: g( k# O6 t. Q! N7 H
山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。& D8 y& C- v& N: j0 K/ k
1 t3 o: b% K* F+ M4 m7 |7 t
4. AI赛道与新兴项目
4 P0 e0 T/ Q. x: y+ `
2 E1 o! ]8 k4 x9 n* y1 k9 pAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
0 I# Q: x7 P* ?; Z) t5 _$ H0 } t0 j K$ t
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。( B5 I. n" a( M K P
- x) F B. s" \# ]6 B6 s新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
! d' ?) A: N }# l* x9 i- z0 j8 Q* C5 d+ A# o
市场展望2 A# |- q3 _# x5 K7 f
- `3 E, L; K! h' c/ d随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。2 ~2 A5 G2 w+ M4 |
2 V3 X4 z! `. j6 T |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13680 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9072 小时
本月在线: 45 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19638 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10407 小时
本月在线: 8 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3055 小时
本月在线: 5 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|