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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？" h A) E k% N. s
& Q9 O1 H& }# ]2 {7 [: F( M7 c- M比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
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随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。
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# g7 Z0 C8 n0 L6 |$ t比特币价格分析5 D; F( b @# u j8 Y; d2 X# R
尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；0 e8 \* F$ O" P- z6 K. n5 l; J; W
6 {9 U, @, J! i# S! k" @6 T崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。; r9 g* f9 K2 c# k1 j! r5 V4 b; a
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。, p8 m2 L5 W; ]! t; c
- C0 p5 l7 u2 s$ j. S7 x, i6 q+ R4 Z/ w目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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$ Y& T1 _ x. N0 ]. f预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。# O1 p+ O4 C( g- O0 {) u' ]3 x
$ E ?6 ^0 h0 }5 O+ q& q1 |' @富达在12月30日引领外流8 _4 B1 @& s! Q9 g6 z
随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。" R3 X; L* v3 N* s, w/ E% ~
M* S' e0 G) x+ c0 m' P比特币交易所交易基金$ t7 S# c# J0 ]( t G% D
富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。
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BTC价格目标! K; f; ]2 o5 z- A* f6 e
随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。- |) d. |: @* C8 N: G( t
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在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。" J! q0 x$ P: h# o: Y6 |. A
4 y1 _- c9 s* ?在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。: @4 Q/ _! h! S& @7 D* Q
: i3 M c. H5 [% I7 d$ m* ~分析师点燃2025年的希望
8 O2 a' m+ E) G! N8 l尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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; h4 @# }' _9 h! {+ o/ L7 b在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。8 n3 ~) b7 B" I6 J4 S" o" s
3 w3 N/ v" ^% x! u7 p- }8 hAlis对比特币RSI的评论
P' c6 x+ |- A! W! M0 c: h4 b$ k }结论; ?, ]# B$ `% _1 l% W
比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。. E0 t* [ ^" Q# C, g
( v/ i% _0 Z" Q% ?. S然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。- t3 \; z. A2 R# E) p+ T" o
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