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[虚拟币交流]
CoinShares预测2025年加密市场前景看涨(转)
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欧洲加密投资公司CoinShares发布了2025年的市场预测,概述了可能塑造行业的关键趋势。 3 R* W- C0 L! Q- g
报告指出,在即将上任的川普ZF下,监管环境将更加有利,比特币ETF的快速普及,比特币收益公司崭露头角,以及以太坊和索拉纳网络上的重要创新。 1 k6 b# h/ s7 s4 K3 q" k
CoinShares预测在《展望—2025》报告中,CoinShares预测随着川普重返总统职位,美国将迎来重大的监管发展。 4 N3 X) I3 f: [$ }9 n1 K& N; [
分析师Max Shannon预测,监管改革和对比特币矿工的支持增加,将为2025年的数字资产市场创造一个繁荣的环境。
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尽管比特币保持强劲的势头,Shannon预计由于新ZF下市场动态的变化,山寨币将超越领先的加密货币比特币表现。 : `6 \: ^* ~$ K
Shannon在报告中写道:“随着美国政策的转变,山寨币可能会超越比特币,尽管比特币仍可能是2025年表现最好的资产之一。 ' P" B0 N9 G1 N8 n3 K
专注于比特币的矿工预计将超过那些将力分散到其他收入来源(如人工智能和机器制造)的矿工,这进一步强化了比特币在矿业领域的主导地位。 3 W# @& a( \% E7 m- Y
CoinShares强调了比特币ETF的飞速增长,2024年比特币ETF迎来了大规模的资金流入。
8 t$ e2 g2 ~' A( z8 G P) J四大ETF——BlackRock比特币ETF、Fidelity比特币ETF、Ark 21Shares比特币ETF和Bitwise比特币ETF——目前共持有近100万枚比特币,这接近比特币化名创造者中本聪(Satoshi Nakamoto)估计的持币量(约110万枚)。 " j& x0 u& c0 h" l' i% n% t
此外,比特币ETF在其第一年的增长轨迹超过了黄金ETF,后者花了五年时间才实现类似的资金流入。 ' [$ @ {% |; [. V. I* I* m5 s$ x
尽管机构采用仍处于起步阶段,但比特币ETF管理的资产中仅有20%由专业机构持有。CoinShares认为2025年仍有巨大的增长潜力。 0 F6 K# ]2 s0 Y. D6 g! ^ U
比特币收益公司的崛起是2025年另一个值得关注的趋势。这些公司利用比特币储备金,通过收益 farming、股权增长或衍生收入策略来创造价值。
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MicroStrategy通过其“BTC收益”指标 exemplifies了这一理念,该指标衡量比特币收购对股东价值的贡献。该公司报告称,2024年1月至11月期间,其比特币收益增长了26.4%。
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CoinShares分析师Satish Patel认为,这一策略将在2025年推动比特币作为财库资产的更广泛采用。
. }; w& f; ^3 n, ^* H5 Q以太坊Layer 2增长,索拉纳网络升级预期迎接2025根据CoinShares的预测,以太坊即将迎来更多的Layer 2应用,随着包括索尼和Kraken在内的大型企业扩展其区块链业务。 7 w9 n/ b0 v- |5 N" P2 I0 C( {
分析师Luke Nolan指出,Layer 2生态系统将推动对以太坊交易的需求增加,以及相关费用结构的提升。 7 d4 ?$ ~( b( A
预计2025年的Pectra升级将提升网络效率。然而,这也带来了在可用性和ETH价值积累之间平衡的挑战。
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类似地,索拉纳的发展路线图展示了通过Firedancer的升级,Firedancer是一个旨在提升可扩展性和性能的验证者客户端。
- V0 a2 g. l" Z: m7 PFrankendancer是一个混合客户端,集成了Firedancer的组件,确保在过渡期间的稳定性。
, U' m, M" a9 w, {. n2 W这些升级旨在解决吞吐量瓶颈,并提升协议标准,为索拉纳在2025年迈向更广泛采用奠定基础。 % ~. P: k9 ^3 k3 }" f
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