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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就
# z G" u! F9 t7 v7 c& ^7 ]# q6 P5 r
突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
; q3 x/ |! j) ~/ ?' f
! ^/ p+ J6 J" F* X; omatrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴) s7 x) B5 ?) e8 R5 o# M
8 J) J u3 \7 a, z8 i) D忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，% N# L5 u6 q/ ~ F
4 E1 f( S* m3 y3 S; W3 X$ [
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中0 F& \' O8 M6 H, Q
2 p1 Y7 b$ _8 W, N% I0 k5 J期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
9 s) j% O" F; [2 XETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道! U: f, s# d0 s& `: i7 H0 x8 e5 u) x
, D+ G% }8 P& d. F( \消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
& h0 z8 `- e7 x# t V& h: y+ t& r- q6 N S9 h3 a
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。# U: U( |# I& m9 s1 p) ~
! z. |4 T8 K' U2 L( {
另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货
8 V- o0 a% X$ p6 j0 q3 n# r3 y
& S/ O6 m3 C/ [ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短% U$ P) Q% _ \5 }$ B
& r& [; e& N) E/ U+ g4 e8 }期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，
* v( ^" r8 }+ @, [& U2 u W- F4 U w( f6 Q% b2 v( D; \
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
, ]0 U/ P) g# o- E+ `; d: e" F( _, p5 b5 t- T
$ f5 c# ~) o" _2 h |
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