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[虚拟币交流]
Fundstrat：比特币现货ETF一旦闯关成功！将飙上15万美元（转载）
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根据华尔街投资研究公司Fundstrat的预测，如果比特币现货ETF获准在美国上市，到3 o" x( S' Z$ q8 e
2024年底为止，比特币将有望飙升至15万美元，甚至是18万美元。1 S0 O. _& M( o8 v
Fundstrat共同创办人、研究主管Tom Lee周三在接受CNBC老牌节目《财经论谈(Squawk Box)》采访时表示，比
/ {$ G* Z" y4 ]2 `特币现货ETF上市潮一旦涌现，势必将改变比特币的供需结构，推动币价大幅上涨。
/ v& L/ w) t6 r# t7 P2 E* i9 _4 O接着当被问及「比特币明年底的目标价位会是多少」时，TomLee更是毫无保留地表示：若比特币现货ETF在美国* _4 C( x* v1 U1 r
获放行，我认为比特币的每日需求量将超越每日供应量，预期均衡价格将会超过15万美元，甚至可能达到18万美
5 }+ \8 ~: E. y( z: ~/ j元。
2 U* f# S2 U! H! V5 OTom Lee另外还提到，即使比特币现货ETF申请遭驳回也不必太过悲观，因为他相信比特币明年4月的减半事件仍6 W8 @( r* y3 ^2 t2 `- \4 T) l
将激励币价走高，惟上涨动能有限，预计不会冲破10万美元。+ {' w4 U% M* [0 {/ y
华尔街巨头贝莱德(BlackRock)今年6月首次提交比特币现货ETF上市申请，当时不仅让其他发行人备受鼓舞，纷纷0 u$ q+ _4 x% b* R) C, n r& a
竞相提交类似文件，还成功激励加密货币市场强劲反弹。3 J7 {& }5 \5 t1 r/ A
根据彭博ETF分析师Eric Balchunas、James Seyffart的估计，这些比特币现货ETF获得批准的可能性为65%，且2 N& [8 O- ` f7 y7 X
获批机率在贝莱德提交申请后出现明显增幅。
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