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[lastpost] => 2768563 鲍威尔讲话前加密货币 ETF 即将出现波动（转） 1758703676 小钱儿
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9.林迪效应
* U: z- f/ V7 \% V- l& s持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。9 Q- N* h; \9 h- _4 |% t C4 h. c
, }7 U) i4 k: a4 N } ]DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。
5 @, J' |% _% t5 \! N J) S6 O- S5 y5 N9 e" Z
10.自我保护原则。
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0 f$ A* R- X& z& s' J1 }* \痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。. ] s0 ?% r( N' n: P3 i
, }* X {* @, [: N7 ^6 K
当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。4 m6 {( a" y# V, t5 `) L0 A
2 {9 E% T! D2 g! d10.抓住重点原则6 D4 c+ x x5 K+ ]* w& D. s& p
重要资源总是稀缺。比如：# `* V# L* H5 A' g$ N! x
1 ~0 N7 b$ B; j" x, z+ z" L• 视频网站为内容而战。8 q% i) D8 c* Y# D, a! o7 \9 {
* A1 z% n, H4 b) c/ C. |- _4 Z) l& ~• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。
8 l: `; h8 E/ o7 T1 `
! [8 s5 s2 u* H* U! l: hCRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？0 a) o. ~3 K4 G
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11.二阶效果原则。0 \& a _ v; J R2 T* y
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。
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1 n; @8 ?2 |3 c+ c/ ~- @多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。
+ b6 d3 v0 X# c& E7 [! A, _1 \' p6 j
5 T- \) H; @1 S但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。
' P' Z+ S$ |( v
! @' i$ i# t ^9 v( T警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。8 ~6 h% Z& W" N J u, t
3 n* ]! F! j3 h! R& S' \
12.冲浪原则; S V8 ]1 P2 h
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。
- d8 x9 l3 r* q" {* @7 M' K0 l/ ^/ D p, h, Z U
及早识别和利用趋势：2 ?0 H6 S" |3 m6 P7 C
7 ~$ j1 G/ n. p
• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。8 W, X# F/ `2 h, k/ ~7 z5 L; h
# V0 y2 w; W3 O1 x• Netflix 转向流媒体。* s k) D0 G* P X& a1 m
+ }) k9 N1 K0 I+ h F% u D在加密货币中：
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• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）# t/ y" z" ^; v6 M7 w. ^. D; {
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• 投资（顺势而为）+ l4 u- p% z; s- ~
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• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）
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13.先行者和后行者优势
9 P0 W& W2 o9 t8 n! W4 E8 n协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。
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2 J2 }7 D3 E& }6 E! F3 x! J* \要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。
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A0 p2 v' z/ o2 ]) k, i# g8 z而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。1 Z! \9 a5 F5 p9 |6 B6 l& k+ x* F
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1 }+ K$ m i/ W4 r7 Q# A
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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