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[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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5. 废话的不对称原则, D* d# U% ^& D o" N+ [
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
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' t' F, D; ~6 P+ \回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。2 M$ O/ i# T g6 ~0 S+ M3 O
" G" d1 C! Q, _2 K! W# q. u* \4 U7 x写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。8 R7 |" F" q8 b+ ?( u* {
% G [# m- b& E4 T+ ?' p0 X
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。# \5 f: u5 Y: ^' g/ H% u6 s9 g- V4 j
# u' v! `! x4 o) i5 D而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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5 X% u" l" R: F$ ] P6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
8 N" k1 I& L) Z2 S2 Y+ `被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。4 _, O. }7 t* \
; v$ G, Y3 O9 {) V& K5 I8 \不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。' J0 M) o! r' N
# D8 S2 @5 K) [1 r因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
0 o" O3 [4 A% Y/ |7 I5 d+ m% I& j1 A, V+ J9 g4 z
想象一下罕见事件:
j9 ]0 M) W$ \. L
$ l+ _ \+ z N" V# c• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
. z2 m1 A% O) U7 R8 g: v8 ]- k* S2 O& ]/ c4 L8 J8 n2 y
• 核打击4 C+ ?, {/ X c$ m
! C8 C* Q* L( n" R. d
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!+ g: l$ L4 |8 b/ [
% k8 z- r) f( d; N% c7.二八定律7 x6 t$ U8 C" d5 C0 c+ [* i4 l8 B& b
在币圈:( v. Z& M: L8 s) T" \: x; v# R# S
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80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
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* ^( v) }9 z8 m% @1 Z" b; K80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
+ B9 ?/ S7 e1 X+ L! F& ?1 f
! M9 B+ s. W6 o" _7 H, B我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
0 G2 P8 d) A# t' k; y" c/ T1 u& G/ m' M6 L' S0 b! ]: r. Y
8.网络效应
, R9 \+ V0 k& ~' w0 u产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
( H. |5 U4 a2 ?8 r$ w
4 G2 [( M$ @' b0 c" y想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
. W# n' W% z6 i) ^7 B9 i& q' P! L4 N- A/ c& `" k: j% R: F: y) I
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。: M2 I. t- ^% i2 L# V7 e. K3 V
2 K- g. f* ?4 l6 Q: |4 I
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。7 T/ w. N9 J( m3 _' {" v' g
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