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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
& \% L! T. K+ A
) w. c- \# n! d) D3 Q3 A5. 废话的不对称原则9 T2 t7 @, d' D
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
: O s% v: I7 I+ {! J& s- ^6 X- Y$ H# B! n
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。5 ?& i# \2 z6 G, E
, X8 Z/ b i" w9 [- k写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
3 ?" v0 w/ I! e8 {' @1 q/ `6 g! K% x
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。) B: b0 j+ t, O" Q; H! g
! X" h9 a A8 `. n4 J, q! y- ?
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。/ d5 ~' ]* o2 |# x; Y
1 P; H5 P$ S/ e9 J! [6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)( g6 T& w( c8 F$ i, n
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
$ b' W4 n' p- c3 g
6 i/ c2 ^/ _) ?. y1 X9 I不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。( `) S2 {. m; I8 C" k. U
# ?4 _6 K" Y- X8 n) {( d; a5 l9 @& V
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。$ Q* H2 D8 h$ z: ~9 D
! ]+ k+ ~ ^' ~: U4 l
想象一下罕见事件:
5 e3 \' }, _( F4 p
2 j7 w0 T, r# W& t! Q; Z• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
* B o8 y* ]. |8 {! K/ z; F7 |* S" t" p$ [7 J# V$ ^
• 核打击/ |0 Y' @+ k) Z: Y2 q
, t8 z$ l1 A& A u/ t我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!, y; I2 K9 |7 P' Q: V! H# @
0 t' C4 W4 X8 Y" n' l' h7.二八定律% I, t; Y- ]4 Z/ g, P! p1 n
在币圈:
* @. ]& i2 i% `+ D2 T
- i* m( I1 d; S1 U" _, t80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。8 T$ i( \2 [ [; r7 I6 k
7 {/ m$ W% M; i. v. X- H80%的利润被20%的人拿走。0 t. z6 F+ i9 m' I1 L# E2 f/ @
( _3 X+ a6 o+ m4 g我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。. f8 X' K& o+ h; w7 R$ J& u
7 p' P! l+ g) l0 L r
8.网络效应
1 }6 B+ v/ a" C" n: a2 m1 X产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。+ u! B' c& h/ q' V- F# l
1 n( q9 p- }7 w& e8 p想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
6 N) Z9 {! ~2 F( p( q, d3 I1 y! t) i* m5 Z( a0 X
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
2 i g- r& e$ G( ^- y. ~- A5 ?+ f6 l- U6 {* x. o- [
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。$ N y# h* J9 ?8 X
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