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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
" U) {8 _, y$ D t. Y5 r行情补充、 , {$ V( t, N) v) I+ e, H8 U+ ?
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
. x$ j+ T; ~4 ^) B4 F X市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
6 h; Z8 ^ N4 ?# U: q关于疑问、一一回复。 , A* g9 V0 t; Q9 J
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ . I. X+ e. K- z/ Q/ t* E
4 |+ _7 l; v, K7 k" h. n* j首先就个人的主观来说、 0 J$ m. z) s" W( M9 _4 i
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 $ V1 v- X F% v. s( k5 C, P
极度憧憬市场的未来！
. q, X$ F w ?- f; }, C3 p但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
4 R* W1 G8 l1 N$ n3 i1 Q" o最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
. m9 d7 ^! d3 q9 L% b# `而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
) J8 g3 W; S1 C/ W, b会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 5 C- U5 z2 H5 z$ x" L, `
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 + }3 C1 i+ O0 M3 M( z! w
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 8 ]5 C0 }( j! \. T. q
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） , A7 e6 I. S8 K _# W' \) Y
为什么会跌、 7 c/ u+ L9 }7 A2 X. i
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 " L! b5 f N$ e: R! i W8 Y
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
8 g4 \* _* x3 G3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 6 ~9 e1 h' a- l- m0 \
综上造成的下跌、 7 @# U m$ `7 c; H$ |
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 ! L4 o) W' X' }8 ]' ]3 K" G
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
& {7 C9 q. p) d1 \7 j9 M( }熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 5 M8 w% Z; T: M9 z! R4 O: _
来决定行情是否好转。
8 w# M7 Y/ C- M/ g: F+ Y至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 3 H% H$ n0 L5 k
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
8 w8 D' Y* G! d7 L9 k1 i4 B1 `短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
0 ~* @3 G. \ b) P: M6 z4 x周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 2 }' ^$ G6 }. a/ c$ Y+ }& E
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
2 ~) F7 |2 {6 ]7 U2 ` u看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
& d3 k u. x& x3 q: R4 C5 o0 C日内大饼反弹、 , _6 V# x; n7 T$ X, c% M/ H* B& i
26150高空
+ S* V% W9 W, x! `: L- G7 E26350补仓
0 O h0 ?% h; P) v% Q8 l26550防守 " D9 K( D- F4 C' v3 r" c; {
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 g+ k1 _6 o$ _! [8 K6 c
以太反弹
0 Y# l/ e, j! z R4 f" p1380高空
$ k7 T- c* B7 v1400补仓
% W0 k9 O( J- M$ R" ~$ {9 o5 D1420防守 0 Y0 ]) K3 {7 [5 o* r0 c7 b+ t
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
3 E7 {; V' F: y3 x1 u, Q附言、 - C$ B2 S1 L! u- U C. s$ @
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
1 x- D/ m* E5 E9 c2 R是正常现象， ! v8 k! L+ L3 [+ q! {
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
( Z; `! S1 L* B7 Q, Z对于市场、依旧未来可期。 4 r9 S& r2 L( A. J
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
. t* D1 l2 w( } r9 U上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
& X2 W" D7 ~; a! [5 ~& S5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
% f- v) r' P& e( @* v) I6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
- H: P" l" A' @- K7 W0 H3 n% L* M+ v相信七月公布时，会较理想。 ! g( ]) C+ U, x* `+ M
但现阶段，要承受的住。 ! Y8 H2 T6 M! n
最后再强调、现货勿割。 ^6 l: O% Z1 j3 O6 K* u7 m0 D
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
5 w3 k: I3 u/ X个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 . t5 x& }+ y% P9 u$ X& z3 a" c8 M
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
1 q. M1 O; X8 J! `这个市场，
& a$ R. n, \. T7 z3 l; S+ C消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 3 M ~: {- g6 h; l3 y# ]( o. v$ x0 f
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
/ v- u; Z( f, H8 u" g, V( `切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
4 Q+ E" l$ L( r) R" Y B但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
* w6 @: H# e) b, V来源：金色财经 |
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