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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 ; ~, O1 o) Q/ b5 s: q
行情补充、
" |" [/ k+ x/ d- K, V8 L在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 . E- V1 w7 ?' L
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 2 v1 f& g1 O( M7 r) l/ U
关于疑问、一一回复。
5 D" H( v$ ~2 C3 o4 B今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 4 h9 F9 l& W# G( L8 D( `" ~
. p3 Q1 s5 E: Y5 Q! j/ S7 l1 v1 o) `首先就个人的主观来说、 : \8 C1 e3 B0 j E9 t9 m/ M6 x( y5 i
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 & a. X' e V) X7 d3 t
极度憧憬市场的未来！
* w* M4 p; e# u$ k但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
8 J! D" @5 A B: p最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
9 Y- @" W) B) i/ @6 \, r而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
; f3 D2 `9 ]9 p; V+ B; Z2 \会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 6 }! j& Y) P, p5 {: G. @; S
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 : a1 |6 d+ E! B' q# Z7 D
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
8 y. J# X: G% G1 m2 F（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
8 r2 u+ G% O8 Z7 v为什么会跌、
( n$ m' m# ^" _" G9 d% e: _% P1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 % y, M% d. j; [# k
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
1 u! Y# |4 L1 y3 [* s/ U3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 / i {9 U* M5 q2 Y+ m2 y
综上造成的下跌、
) _4 m! M0 g6 i0 p; k% R' \8 ~2 y这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
2 q5 `8 ?3 O" C0 U" ]3 z2 Z' T5 h) Z也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
9 t) @0 h1 Q( F熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
- P3 P: W/ B9 V% a来决定行情是否好转。 ; |$ t# H- O$ ?4 G( ]
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 # [& m% l" ?* r7 m
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
" J$ B- J8 ?8 I" U X7 i8 V& U) M短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 # g: c, Z6 p, d' s6 l$ H
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 3 G0 ?4 [3 m; d6 A$ \
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
& v: S; S2 [2 \4 G# d看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ! w# A! F C" n& a
日内大饼反弹、
$ C8 I; l7 w; j {26150高空 2 r" M2 I. H1 }! f
26350补仓
% B% Z! M Q; Y5 a& L26550防守 . v8 i0 D' U; V7 V) F i
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 1 `4 Y) s; h. S/ ~9 k$ g2 K
以太反弹 , L. t: V( M; ?0 ?! K7 g
1380高空
6 o4 |) M8 w+ p% j+ E1 I1400补仓 9 N) P* v" D. S; }: p
1420防守
" B$ }5 y1 z) _2 l v, v' a4 k; s目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 $ o) F M3 G# u, p
附言、 / r# f$ m ^0 m! ]$ ~
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 3 Q( R% @5 z) }3 V" X7 C
是正常现象， + ]5 |7 M* P H& W9 Q
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 d- T; L+ V* @
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 ( h* `/ n6 D8 N% p; ?( y
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
: h: E& c9 M" K8 w0 y上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
: M- `9 c* R; K. ?: L* P5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 , P. w5 C4 ?, o! T! ?" {
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 0 N# @- Q; j6 @& c- J3 f" E7 d" }" A
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 . r- Y; n% l* w8 \
但现阶段，要承受的住。
) {8 a6 H" ?( U& O/ `& n最后再强调、现货勿割。
1 t" j6 i: U, n- @2 t, Z. |25000的大饼 1300的以太、 4 J. }; W; J* j: o D1 M0 v' O4 g
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
. U! L2 n; j7 L- R0 W稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
- z; `! B! x! g: [# z4 W- E& L% n这个市场，
8 m$ x0 I0 G. j: m1 w消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
, N5 C- `+ y7 t最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
: ~2 P2 H! J" W0 K, w% U; d2 R切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
5 ^- {! M. E( [但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
" K& w6 Y W) R2 U来源：金色财经 |
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