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[体育菠菜心得方法] 庄家勤降水,冷门变热门
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有些比赛庄家开盘是有很大困难的,比如两支排名相近的球队,主队近况好,客队近况差,这种比赛大众的投注心理从总体上是偏向状态好的主队的,而无论庄家开什么盘,半球、半球/一球、一球…都基本无法避免主队偏热的情况。从最近的比赛看,庄家有时会采取主动给近况不佳的客队大幅降水(尤其在比赛开始前的半个小时左右),给投注主队的玩家制造心理压力,从而在开场前的投注高峰期内,让原来不被大众看好的客队变成投注热门。然而,比赛结果却并不象之前双方水位的变化那样充满玄机,主队仍然轻松胜出。
5 L- B4 a2 i- Y8 Z" n        2006年10月13日凌晨瑞典甲辛斯华尔主场对阵华斯比的比赛就是一个很好的例子,主队辛斯华尔无论从排名还是状态上都优于客队华斯比,而且由于这是一场提前进行的保级战,主队的战意也不用怀疑。各大博彩公司开出的初盘基本都是辛斯华尔让半/一低水。这是一个中庸的盘口,不浅也不深,从大众的投注心理来看,显然辛斯华尔会更受欢迎一些。初盘开出后,辛斯华尔的水位确实开始缓慢而连续地下降,从1.875附近下降到1.825,与我先前的预测一致,辛斯华尔的确更受欢迎一些。照这样的趋势,到开赛前,辛斯华尔一定会因低水位而被看作是安全的象征,从而成为大众首选。然而庄家此后却做了一件很奇怪的事,在比赛开始前的7小时,突然大幅上调了主队辛斯华尔的水位,从之前一路下滑的1.825骤然猛升到2.00以上…这是一个很奇怪的举动,似乎暗示了庄家从某种渠道得到了辛斯华尔本场难以取胜的消息…真是这样吗?其实动动脑子就能发现其中的玄机:本来卖的好好的辛斯华尔,为什么会在一个投注量非常少的冷门时段,大幅升水呢?升水带来的不是安全感,而是危机感,事实上确有很多原来想买辛斯华尔的玩家看到辛斯华尔水位急升,不敢投或者改投对面了。庄家如果真不看好辛斯华尔,那么最好的操盘方法就是顺其自然,而不是这样欲盖弥彰的大幅升水。比赛前的一个小时,庄家更是变本加厉,继续升辛斯华尔的水位,最后在比赛前几分钟,在上盘客的极度恐慌中,辛斯华尔到了1.10的顶水附近,似乎完全没有获胜的希望了。
' F) \9 Q" P* {* r6 }7 V, X        比赛的进程却完全没有悬念,刚开始10分钟不到辛斯华尔就先声夺人,30分钟再下一城,客队完全没有机会,2:0上盘赢全盘。: F9 t! _/ Q3 z( S/ y) ~- R
        由此可见,比赛前7小时辛斯华尔的骤然猛升水位是庄家为打乱大众投注倾向刻意而为,临近比赛将辛斯华尔的水位升到顶水,继续暗示其不胜。庄家通过简单的水位升降数字游戏,让原本的冷门球队华斯比,在最后时刻成为了热门方向。
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也是比较常见的手法
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2#
的确如此,通过升降水位来诱导买家
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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