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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场:为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”?
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中,我们很容易注意到:BTC横盘(震荡)在稳定的价格区间内。
. G8 ]/ a7 K8 J0 n1 E8 l0 XAltcoin持续下跌,尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。% Q0 E4 E- V7 e
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高,显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。% p, ]9 d2 u0 _! V
你们可以比较两张图表:altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
( f( S4 P) @: ~. b/ S/ _从九月初开始。上涨时,alt/btc弱于usdt,因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆,而下跌时则强于usdt,因为直接通过现货交易。
8 e) ~! f2 Y7 d& @# Ialt/btc; g7 Y6 s1 J5 ]* O- ~
alt/usdt b# l1 U& l4 O, i, m& `+ Q0 N
那么,发生了什么?& h2 Q! n, o' f7 e2 g5 d
1. 大户轮换资金
6 r% |( ^0 {8 o) C6 H$ G" d/ x7 \与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT(会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑),大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
7 x W& v2 ?. s9 \/ v0 T这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
8 C, R) k; p/ p; x- b! T但实际上,如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对,我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
) S$ N! ^ E7 W5 v2. 市场的防御心理" Q7 x1 D) }, V6 N% U4 o$ i" F8 r; r
投资者正在缩小风险,优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大,波动性小。
" ~4 N9 m/ o, x2 X6 E2 w这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币,导致它们逐渐疲弱。$ P! P2 T! x+ x( T8 O( ~0 p
3. 需要关注的信号
- k6 n1 M: b4 r( J& z- P. B/ g \BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
9 X) \6 \, x, v4 G5 u, {山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
, F8 X4 W: m9 c4 wUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲,USDT主导率仍高,但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
1 q3 `2 G, c* P1 y$ P" L4. 对投资者的意义( O# @8 T& l4 P* a* y
在这个阶段,缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
+ x' e6 U" O; Y( H7 g如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动,山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。 I, Y+ c( `$ h$ `5 O6 A1 i8 l T6 J
安全策略:关注资金流动,避免过多持有弱势山寨币,集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
! {6 ~5 ^) X1 j# Y0 h; V& f5 s结论:市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段,山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉,不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑,以为这是机会。
6 ?; p/ Q" M! L- x3 t#加密货币#
$ V; r0 F% X; Y) G: G9 K# f' _: @/ M) [8 u8 i3 D9 [. {# i
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当前离线
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当前离线
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的,BTC装死不动,小币全在裸奔,庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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市场操作有点阴谋论,大户在搞鬼转移资金,小散步森严防范保身。 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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